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17.05.2026 12:30
MAC³PARK Stadion
Referee: E. Blank
PEC Zwolle
Match Timeline
Feyenoord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
61'
G. Read ↔ M. Deijl
Feyenoord
🔄
61'
G. Trauner ↔ G. Smal
Feyenoord
🔄
65'
G. Reiziger ↔ T. Buitink
PEC Zwolle
🔄
72'
T. van den Elshout ↔ S. Steijn
Feyenoord
🔄
72'
R. Sterling ↔ G. Diarra
Feyenoord
🔄
77'
J. Monteiro ↔ J. Pereira da Gama
PEC Zwolle
⚽
79'
A. Hadj Moussa · Assist: G. Smal
Feyenoord
⚽
87'
A. Hadj Moussa · Assist: L. Valente
Feyenoord
🔄
89'
C. Tengstedt ↔ S. van Persie
Feyenoord

PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PEC Zwolle Win 39.3%
Draw 3.7%
Feyenoord Win 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle1.4
Feyenoord1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
L W L D L
6 GF / 16 GA
Feyenoord Feyenoord
D W W D D
7 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.93
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.51
23
BTTS Yes
27
21
Over 2.5
27
3.61
Shots on Goal
6.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 matches
Feyenoord Feyenoord 43 matches
PEC Zwolle Statistic Feyenoord
9 Wins 21
10 Draws 8
14 Losses 14
44 Goals For 83
69 Goals Against 65
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.51
23 BTTS Yes 27
28 Over 1.5 37
21 Over 2.5 27
15 Over 3.5 17
6 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 7
3.61 Shots On Goal 6.02
9.73 Total Shots 16.07
3.64 Corners 6.53
44.8% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Feyenoord's more proactive style and PEC Zwolle's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. PEC Zwolle have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Feyenoord. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Feyenoord carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 62 points while PEC Zwolle sit 13 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

PEC Zwolle sit 13 with 37 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 44:69 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Kostons (11 goals), K. de Rooij (6 goals), T. Oosting (6 goals), with creative support from K. Kostons (6 assists), K. de Rooij (5 assists), Y. Namli (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Feyenoord Analysis

Feyenoord arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 62 points after 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 68:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Ueda (25 goals), A. Hadj Moussa (9 goals), S. Steijn (7 goals), with creative support from J. Bos (7 assists), A. Hadj Moussa (6 assists), L. Valente (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 1 times, Feyenoord won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:45 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / Feyenoord 4-2-3-1
Missing players: PEC Zwolle 8, Feyenoord 9
H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 1, draws 0, Feyenoord wins 14

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie