URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 30.1%
Draw 26.1%
Oriental Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.1
Oriental1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
19 GF / 24 GA
Oriental Oriental
WLDWL
24 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 17 matches
Oriental Oriental 18 matches
Paysandu Statistic Oriental
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 7
10 Losses 4
19 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 19
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Oriental's more proactive style and Paysandu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oriental. Paysandu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oriental having the stronger overall control. Oriental carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 15 points while Paysandu sit 13 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu sit 13 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oriental Analysis

Oriental come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 15 points from 11 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 16:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 0 times, Oriental won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Paysandu's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.9%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 0, draws 0, Oriental wins 1
Last matches: Paysandu
25.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
3
2
W
13.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Fenix
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
2
1
W
27.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
06.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
La Luz
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Cerrito
0
1
L
23.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Atenas
2
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
26.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
0
1
L
05.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
0
1
L
27.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
L
Last matches: Oriental
18.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
1
0
W
12.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
2
2
D
13.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
3
0
W
08.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
2
D
01.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
22.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
1
3
L
17.05.26
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
2
2
D
02.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
20.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Paysandu
1
0
W
23.03.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
0
0
D
14.03.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
3
1
W
24.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
18.10.25
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
1
1
D
H2H: Paysandu vs Oriental
05.04.26
H2H
Oriental
Paysandu
1
0
L
Last matches: Paysandu
13.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Fenix
1
0
W
27.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
3
L
14.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
30.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Cerrito
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
10.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
0
1
L
27.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
L
Last matches: Oriental
12.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
2
2
D
08.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
2
D
22.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
1
3
L
02.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
20.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
14.03.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
3
1
W
18.10.25
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
1
1
D
12.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
3
2
W
04.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Colón
0
0
D
14.09.25
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
4
0
W
30.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
1
2
L
20.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Atenas
2
1
W
10.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
01.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
0
2
L
06.07.25
Seg
Oriental
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
28.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Artigas
2
1
W
15.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Albion FC
0
1
L
03.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Rampla Juniors
2
1
W

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D