BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Referee: M. Pereira
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Maringá
Maringá
🟨
45'
Lucas Rodrigues
Paysandu
🔄
54'
Kleiton Pego ↔ Thalyson
Paysandu
🟨
63'
Maringá
Maringá
🔄
70'
Thiago Rosa ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
70'
Adeilson ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
80'
Caio Mello ↔ Radsley
Paysandu
🔄
80'
Thayllon ↔ Pablo
Paysandu
🔄
80'
Luciano Taboca ↔ Lucas Cardoso
Paysandu
🔄
80'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Gabriel Souza
Maringá
🔄
80'
Caique Calito ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
85'
Rai Natalino
Maringá
🔄
86'
Lucas Rodrigues ↔ Gustavo Henrique
Paysandu
🔄
87'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Gabriel Santos
Maringá

Paysandu vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.1%
1.88
BTTS Yes
75%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.83
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 50.1%
Draw 15.2%
Maringá Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.53
Maringá1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
26 GF / 26 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
31 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
12
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 18 matches
Maringá Maringá 18 matches
Paysandu Statistic Maringá
9 Wins 7
2 Draws 6
7 Losses 5
26 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 30
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
12 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Maringá. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Paysandu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Paysandu Analysis

With 26 points from 17 games and a place of 6, Paysandu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 25:26 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maringá Analysis

So far, Maringá have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 24 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation