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21.08.2026 18:00
FT
0 - 1
Nouste Camp
Referee: Tifenn Leprodhomme, France
PAU
Match Timeline
Nancy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Gaëtan Paquiez
PAU
🟨
18'
Axel Dodote
PAU
🟨
43'
Nehemiah Fernandez
Nancy
🔄
46'
L. Gadegbeku ↔ C. Fall
PAU
🔄
46'
B. Leye ↔ R. Openda
PAU
🟨
54'
Axel Bamba
PAU
🔄
60'
N. Obougou ↔ B. Bokangu
Nancy
🔄
61'
L. Rajot ↔ T. Saettel
PAU
🔄
68'
N. Fernandez ↔ H. Tavares
Nancy
🔄
68'
N. Kandil ↔ M. Fofana
Nancy
🔄
73'
G. Versini ↔ A. Lefebvre
PAU
🔄
86'
W. Bouabdelli ↔ C. El Hansar
Nancy
🔄
86'
Z. Fdaouch ↔ Z. Ztouti
Nancy
⚽
87'
B. Bokangu · Assist: I. Housni
Nancy
🟨
88'
Héliohdino Tavares
Nancy
🔄
89'
J. Benet ↔ A. Briancon
PAU

PAU vs Nancy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PAU Win 33.3%
Draw 20.2%
Nancy Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
PAU0.92
Nancy1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
PAU PAU
W L L L L
2 GF / 11 GA
Nancy Nancy
L D D D D
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
2.5
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PAU PAU 7 matches
Nancy Nancy 9 matches
PAU Statistic Nancy
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
6 Goals For 19
11 Goals Against 9
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
2.5 Shots On Goal 3
11.5 Total Shots 12
4 Corners 6
52.5% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, PAU won 2 times, Nancy won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from PAU's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: PAU 4-1-4-1 / Nancy 4-4-2
H2H summary: PAU wins 2, draws 2, Nancy wins 3

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:11 14 28
W L W W W
2
Nancy Away
12 8 1 3 17:9 8 25
W W W W W
3 12 7 3 2 18:9 9 24
L W W W W
4 12 5 6 1 24:15 9 21
L W D W D
5
PAU Home
12 6 2 4 16:13 3 20
L W W W W
6 12 5 3 4 21:19 2 18
W W L L W
7 12 4 5 3 20:19 1 17
W L D W L
8 12 5 2 5 14:17 -3 17
L L L L W
9 12 5 1 6 14:18 -4 16
L L W L W
10 12 4 3 5 17:17 0 15
W L D W L
11 12 4 2 6 16:18 -2 14
L W W L L
12 12 2 7 3 10:8 2 13
W L D W D
13 12 4 1 7 17:23 -6 13
L W W L L
14 12 3 3 6 14:18 -4 12
W D L L D
15 12 1 8 3 11:15 -4 11
W D L D L
16 12 2 5 5 8:15 -7 11
L L L L D
17 12 3 2 7 13:22 -9 11
W L L L L
18 12 2 3 7 14:23 -9 9
L W L D L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3