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23.10.2026 18:00
Nouste Camp
Referee: Gabriel Henry, France
PAU
Match Timeline
Grenoble
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
Aurélien Pelon ↔ Farouq Limouri
Grenoble
⚽
31'
Ugo Bonnet · Assist: Yvann Macon
Grenoble
🟨
34'
Tom Pouilly
PAU
🟨
36'
Yvann Macon
Grenoble
🟨
45+3'
Bilal Brahimi
PAU
🔄
45'
Abdoulaye Mbaye ↔ Babacar Leye
PAU
🔄
56'
Cheikh Fall ↔ Jeremy Sebas
PAU
🔄
56'
Tom Pouilly ↔ Abdel Hakim Abdallah
PAU
🟨
59'
Jessy Benet
PAU
🔄
67'
Bilal Brahimi ↔ Lorenzo Rajot
PAU
🟨
69'
Gaëtan Paquiez
PAU
🔄
73'
Leonardo Cerri ↔ Kyliann Fofana
Grenoble
🟨
74'
T. Debès
PAU
🟨
74'
Farouq Limouri
Grenoble
⚽
77'
Hacene Benali · Assist: Jeremy Sebas
PAU
🔄
81'
Ugo Bonnet ↔ Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
Grenoble
🔄
81'
Samba Lele Diba ↔ Lucas Bernadou
Grenoble
🔄
82'
Yvann Macon ↔ Nesta Zahui
Grenoble
🟨
85'
Hacene Benali
PAU
🟨
87'
Yohann Magnin
Grenoble
⚽
89'
Lorenzo Rajot
PAU
🟨
90+2'
Clement Vidal
Grenoble

PAU vs Grenoble Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PAU Win 48.9%
Draw 20.8%
Grenoble Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
PAU1.39
Grenoble1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
PAU PAU
W W W W L
10 GF / 6 GA
Grenoble Grenoble
L L D D W
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
7
4.33
Shots on Goal
2.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PAU PAU 15 matches
Grenoble Grenoble 16 matches
PAU Statistic Grenoble
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 8
19 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 25
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
4.33 Shots On Goal 2.22
14.22 Total Shots 8.56
4.22 Corners 3.11
46.8% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between PAU's more proactive style and Grenoble's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grenoble. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with PAU expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Grenoble in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grenoble having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

PAU Analysis

PAU sit 8 with 11 points after 8 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Babacar Leye (3 goals), J. Benet (1 goals), L. Rajot (1 goals), with creative support from J. Benet (2 assists), L. Rajot (2 assists), A. Briançon (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Grenoble Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 14, Grenoble still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:13 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Diba (2 goals), Yadaly Diaby (2 goals), M. Xantippe (1 goals), with creative support from M. Xantippe (1 assists), B. Mouazan (1 assists), Y. Magnin (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PAU won 3 times, Grenoble won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from PAU's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: PAU 5-3-2 / Grenoble 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: PAU wins 3, draws 8, Grenoble wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:11 14 28
W L W W W
2 12 8 1 3 17:9 8 25
W W W W W
3 12 7 3 2 18:9 9 24
L W W W W
4 12 5 6 1 24:15 9 21
L W D W D
5
PAU Home
12 6 2 4 16:13 3 20
L W W W W
6 12 5 3 4 21:19 2 18
W W L L W
7 12 4 5 3 20:19 1 17
W L D W L
8 12 5 2 5 14:17 -3 17
L L L L W
9 12 5 1 6 14:18 -4 16
L L W L W
10 12 4 3 5 17:17 0 15
W L D W L
11 12 4 2 6 16:18 -2 14
L W W L L
12 12 2 7 3 10:8 2 13
W L D W D
13 12 4 1 7 17:23 -6 13
L W W L L
14 12 3 3 6 14:18 -4 12
W D L L D
15 12 1 8 3 11:15 -4 11
W D L D L
16 12 2 5 5 8:15 -7 11
L L L L D
17 12 3 2 7 13:22 -9 11
W L L L L
18 12 2 3 7 14:23 -9 9
L W L D L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3