ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Patronato
Match Timeline
Atletico DE Rafaela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
M. Moreno
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
25'
F. Meritello
Patronato
🟨
29'
M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
32'
N. Cainelli ↔ M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
50'
J. Salas ↔ F. Heredia
Patronato
🟨
57'
M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
67'
R. Reynaga ↔ H. Rivero
Patronato
🔄
67'
J. Barolin ↔ T. Attis
Patronato
🟨
71'
E. Wuattier
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
73'
E. Wuattier ↔ J. Bonifacio
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
73'
M. Pardo ↔ F. Nouet
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
75'
F. Nouet
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
82'
M. Quiroga ↔ C. Leineker
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
86'
J. P. Barinaga ↔ M. Enrique
Patronato

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.96
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.32
2 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
1.96
BTTS No
60.3%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.32
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Patronato Win 57.7%
Draw 6.9%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato0.77
Atletico DE Rafaela0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patronato Patronato
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patronato Patronato 16 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 17 matches
Patronato Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
4 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
11 Goals For 14
14 Goals Against 15
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico DE Rafaela's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico DE Rafaela. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Atletico DE Rafaela carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 25 points while Patronato sit 13 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato are currently 13 in the standings with 18 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 10:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

Placed 5 with 25 points from 16 outings, Atletico DE Rafaela continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:12 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Patronato won 0 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Patronato's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
H2H summary: Patronato wins 0, draws 1, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 1

Lineups

Patronato
Formation
Atletico DE Rafaela
A. Sosa
A. Sosa
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
F. Moreyra
F. Moreyra
F. Meritello
F. Meritello
J. Salas
J. Salas
W. Rueda
W. Rueda
F. Bravo
F. Bravo
J. P. Barinaga
J. P. Barinaga
A. Miro
A. Miro
J. Barolin
J. Barolin
R. Reynaga
R. Reynaga
M. Bergia
M. Bergia
G. Fernandez
G. Fernandez
R. Ramirez
R. Ramirez
N. Ramos
N. Ramos
F. Ponce
F. Ponce
E. Wuattier
E. Wuattier
F. Soloa
F. Soloa
N. Cainelli
N. Cainelli
M. Pardo
M. Pardo
M. Quiroga
M. Quiroga
M. Moreno
M. Moreno
Patronato 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Sosa
2
G. Diaz
3
F. Moreyra
6
F. Meritello
🟨 25'
8
J. Salas
↓ 50'
4
W. Rueda
5
F. Bravo
10
J. P. Barinaga
↓ 86'
11
A. Miro
7
J. Barolin
↓ 67'
9
R. Reynaga
↓ 67'
Substitutes
12
F. Rivasseau
13
F. Evangelista
17
N. Genez
14
F. Heredia
↑ 50'
15
M. Enrique
↑ 86'
16
A. Picco
18
V. Villarreal
19
H. Rivero
↑ 67'
20
T. Attis
↑ 67'
Atletico DE Rafaela 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Bergia
2
G. Fernandez
3
R. Ramirez
4
N. Ramos
6
F. Ponce
11
E. Wuattier
↓ 73' 🟨 71'
5
F. Soloa
7
N. Cainelli
↓ 32'
8
M. Pardo
↓ 73'
9
M. Quiroga
↓ 82' 🟨 29'
10
M. Moreno
🟨 10'
Substitutes
12
R. Martinez
13
V. Mondino
19
J. Bonifacio
↑ 73'
16
J. Capurro
17
M. Fernandez
↑ 32' 🟨 57'
15
F. Nouet
↑ 73' 🟨 75'
18
J. Torrens
20
C. Leineker
↑ 82'
Last matches: Patronato
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Colegiales
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atlanta
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Agropecuario
4
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
28.03.26
Cop
Atletico DE Rafaela
Belgrano Cordoba
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Temperley
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Almagro
0
0
D
H2H: Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela
14.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
17.12.16
H2H
Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
3
0
L
Last matches: Patronato
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
H2H at home: Patronato
14.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico DE Rafaela
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atlanta
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
28.03.26
Cop
Atletico DE Rafaela
Belgrano Cordoba
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Atletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo Maipu
1
2
L
H2H away: Atletico DE Rafaela
14.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.78
Draw 3.01
Home 1.96
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.06
Draw 1.85
Home 2.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.25 1.48
Over 1.5 1.71
Over 1.75 1.99
Over 2.0 2.43
Over 2.25 2.84
Over 2.5 3.22
Under 0.5 5.15
Under 1.25 2.59
Under 1.5 2.09
Under 1.75 1.85
Under 2.0 1.54
Under 2.25 1.40
Under 2.5 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 3.00
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 1.83
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.05
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 2.5 3.40
Over 3.5 7.00
Over 4.5 17.00
Over 5.5 41.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.83
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.91
Draw 1.76
Home 2.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.22
Draw 2.03
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 0.75 1.14
Over 1.0 1.20
Over 1.25 1.46
Over 1.5 1.69
Over 1.75 1.86
Over 2.0 2.26
Over 2.25 2.62
Over 2.5 2.97
Over 2.75 3.76
Over 3.0 5.35
Over 3.25 5.74
Over 3.5 6.15
Over 3.75 8.85
Over 4.0 10.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 22.00
Under 0.5 4.90
Under 0.75 4.34
Under 1.0 3.72
Under 1.25 2.51
Under 1.5 2.04
Under 1.75 1.76
Under 2.0 1.51
Under 2.25 1.38
Under 2.5 1.30
Under 2.75 1.19
Under 3.0 1.09
Under 3.25 1.07
Under 3.5 1.06
Under 3.75 1.02
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.95
Home 2.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 1.94
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.15
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.0 1.17
Over 1.5 1.56
Over 2.0 2.06
Over 2.5 2.75
Over 3.0 4.60
Over 3.25 5.00
Over 3.5 5.30
Under 0.5 5.40
Under 1.0 4.30
Under 1.5 2.23
Under 2.0 1.66
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 3.0 1.15
Under 3.25 1.13
Under 3.5 1.11

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 3 4 23:11 12 33
W W D W W
2 17 10 3 4 27:19 8 33
W W L D W
3 17 7 8 2 16:10 6 29
W D D D W
4 17 7 5 5 14:12 2 26
D W L W L
5 17 6 8 3 17:16 1 26
W W W D L
6 17 7 4 6 18:13 5 25
L L W L W
7 17 5 7 5 14:14 0 22
L D L L L
8 17 5 6 6 15:11 4 21
W D W D L
9 17 6 3 8 22:20 2 21
L L W L W
10 16 5 6 5 15:16 -1 21
L W D L
11 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
L L W W
12 17 5 5 7 14:16 -2 20
W L D D W
13 17 5 5 7 16:19 -3 20
L W D D W
14 17 4 8 5 11:14 -3 20
D D D L W
15 17 5 4 8 13:19 -6 19
W D W L L
16 17 5 4 8 17:27 -10 19
L W L W L
17 17 4 6 7 14:20 -6 18
L D D D L
18 17 5 3 9 14:20 -6 18
L L L W L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation