COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Independencia
Patriotas
Match Timeline
Orsomarso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
🟨
25'
J. Hurtado
Patriotas
🟨
30'
J. Contreras
Orsomarso
🟨
45+1'
S. Agamez
Orsomarso
🟨
51'
M. Gomez
Patriotas
🔄
59'
A. Ruiz ↔ B. Campaz
Orsomarso
🔄
59'
S. Gonzalez ↔ J. Villarreal
Orsomarso
🟨
60'
J. Hurtado
Patriotas
🟥
60'
J. Hurtado
Patriotas
🔄
60'
M. Gomez ↔ C. Copete
Patriotas
🔄
63'
J. Campana ↔ Y. Palacios
Patriotas
🔄
65'
J. Contreras ↔ Y. Valoyes
Orsomarso
66'
B. Campaz
Orsomarso
🟨
69'
F. Torres
Patriotas
🔄
75'
F. Torres ↔ T. Molina
Patriotas
🔄
80'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↔ J. Hernandez
Orsomarso
🔄
80'
Zarante ↔ D. Castro
Orsomarso
🟨
81'
T. Molina
Patriotas
🟥
85'
D. Castro
Orsomarso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patriotas Win 68.5%
Draw 12.9%
Orsomarso Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patriotas1.04
Orsomarso0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patriotas Patriotas
WWDLW
18 GF / 20 GA
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WLDWL
14 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patriotas Patriotas 17 matches
Orsomarso Orsomarso 17 matches
Patriotas Statistic Orsomarso
5 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
18 Goals For 14
20 Goals Against 17
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orsomarso. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsomarso having the stronger overall control.

Patriotas Analysis

Patriotas sit 11 with 17 points after 15 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 13:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orsomarso Analysis

So far, Orsomarso have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 13:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas won 2 times, Orsomarso won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Patriotas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
H2H summary: Patriotas wins 2, draws 5, Orsomarso wins 1

Lineups

Orsomarso
Formation
Patriotas
I. Blanco
I. Blanco
S. Agamez
S. Agamez
D. Barrios
D. Barrios
M. Lasso
M. Lasso
S. Gonzalez
S. Gonzalez
B. Caicedo
B. Caicedo
Zarante
Zarante
J. Barreiro
J. Barreiro
A. Ruiz
A. Ruiz
J. Contreras
J. Contreras
R. A. Benitez Hernandez
R. A. Benitez Hernandez
A. Macea
A. Macea
A. Porras
A. Porras
J. Hurtado
J. Hurtado
Carabali
Carabali
L. Renteria
L. Renteria
F. Figueroa
F. Figueroa
K. Alvarez
K. Alvarez
F. Torres
F. Torres
J. Riuz
J. Riuz
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
J. Campana
J. Campana
Orsomarso 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
I. Blanco
6
S. Agamez
🟨 45+1'
5
D. Barrios
4
M. Lasso
26
S. Gonzalez
↓ 59'
7
B. Caicedo
14
Zarante
↓ 80'
13
J. Barreiro
10
A. Ruiz
↓ 59'
27
J. Contreras
↓ 65' 🟨 30'
16
R. A. Benitez Hernandez
↓ 80'
Substitutes
1
J. Grisales
17
J. Hernandez
↑ 80'
18
Y. Valoyes
↑ 65'
21
D. Castro
↑ 80' 🟥 85'
24
B. Campaz
⚽ 66' ↑ 59'
J. Villarreal
↑ 59'
Patriotas 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
26
A. Macea
22
A. Porras
4
J. Hurtado
🟨 25' 🟨 60' 🟥 60'
2
Carabali
21
L. Renteria
19
F. Figueroa
10
K. Alvarez
⚽ 11'
6
F. Torres
↓ 75' 🟨 69'
38
J. Riuz
30
M. Gomez
↓ 60' 🟨 51'
7
J. Campana
↓ 63'
Substitutes
42
E. Cruz
18
J. Angulo
16
T. Molina
↑ 75' 🟨 81'
20
E. Arango
17
H. Angulo
8
C. Copete
↑ 60'
32
X. Betancurt
28
C. S. Salguero Zapata
34
Y. Palacios
↑ 63'
Last matches: Patriotas
24.08.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
2
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Envigado
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Leones FC
1
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Ind. Yumbo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
3
3
D
16.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
12.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Tigres FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Barranquilla
0
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
25.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
0
3
L
20.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
Last matches: Orsomarso
24.08.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
2
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Leones FC
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Bogota FC
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
2
0
W
11.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Depor FC
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
0
4
L
01.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Envigado
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
2
2
D
09.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Cucuta
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
3
L
H2H: Patriotas vs Orsomarso
20.08.26
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
1
D
09.02.26
H2H
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
0
D
13.08.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Patriotas
2
2
D
27.02.25
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
19.09.23
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
0
W
15.04.23
H2H
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
1
W
28.03.23
H2H
Orsomarso
Patriotas
1
0
L
16.03.23
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
Last matches: Patriotas
24.08.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
3
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Leones FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
3
3
D
12.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
23.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
0
3
L
15.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
1
0
W
07.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pri
Patriotas
Jaguares
2
1
W
13.10.25
Pri
Patriotas
Huila
1
0
W
26.09.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
16.09.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
3
1
W
31.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
2
0
W
03.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
1
0
W
21.07.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
H2H at home: Patriotas
20.08.26
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
1
D
27.02.25
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
19.09.23
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
0
W
16.03.23
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
Last matches: Orsomarso
31.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Bogota FC
0
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
2
D
11.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Depor FC
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
2
2
D
04.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Cucuta
0
1
L
07.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
21.09.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
1
3
L
06.09.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Depor FC
0
1
L
19.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
0
2
L
19.07.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Leones FC
1
0
W
13.05.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
0
0
D
04.05.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
1
D
23.04.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
1
0
W
H2H away: Orsomarso
20.08.26
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
1
D
27.02.25
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
19.09.23
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
0
L
16.03.23
H2H
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)