COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Independencia
Patriotas
Match Timeline
Internacional Palmira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Mosquera
Internacional Palmira
🟨
16'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🟨
23'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🔄
63'
A. Porras ↔ F. Torres
Patriotas
🔄
63'
M. Gomez ↔ C. Copete
Patriotas
🔄
63'
T. Molina ↔ S. E. Bello Vivas
Patriotas
🔄
63'
J. Mosquera ↔ D. Orozco
Internacional Palmira
🔄
63'
J. Mosquera ↔ R. Correa
Internacional Palmira
67'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
70'
J. Campana
Patriotas
🔄
73'
J. Montes ↔ J. Riuz
Patriotas
🔄
73'
Padilla Kevin ↔ J. Popo
Internacional Palmira
🟥
81'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🔄
83'
J. J. Velez Carey ↔ Y. Ariza
Internacional Palmira
🔄
83'
R. Brochero ↔ M. Lema
Internacional Palmira
84'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
🔄
85'
J. Campana ↔ X. Betancurt
Patriotas
🟨
89'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🟨
90+4'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🟨
90+5'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patriotas Win 42%
Draw 14.7%
Internacional Palmira Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patriotas0.83
Internacional Palmira1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patriotas Patriotas
WWDLW
13 GF / 17 GA
Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira
WLDWL
32 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
6
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patriotas Patriotas 15 matches
Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira 21 matches
Patriotas Statistic Internacional Palmira
4 Wins 13
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 2
13 Goals For 32
17 Goals Against 16
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
6 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Internacional Palmira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Internacional Palmira. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Patriotas Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Patriotas have collected 17 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 13:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Internacional Palmira Analysis

Internacional Palmira come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 7 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 3:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas won 2 times, Internacional Palmira won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Patriotas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Patriotas wins 2, draws 0, Internacional Palmira wins 2

Lineups

Patriotas
Formation
Internacional Palmira
J. Espitia
J. Espitia
A. Porras
A. Porras
J. Hurtado
J. Hurtado
Carabali
Carabali
L. Renteria
L. Renteria
F. Figueroa
F. Figueroa
K. Alvarez
⚽ 2
K. Alvarez
T. Molina
T. Molina
J. Montes
J. Montes
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
J. Campana
J. Campana
A. Perez
A. Perez
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
A. Mejia
A. Mejia
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
A. Alvarez
A. Alvarez
H. Suarez
H. Suarez
J. J. Velez Carey
J. J. Velez Carey
J. Mosquera
J. Mosquera
J. Mosquera
J. Mosquera
Padilla Kevin
Padilla Kevin
R. Brochero
R. Brochero
Patriotas 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. Espitia
22
A. Porras
↓ 63'
4
J. Hurtado
2
Carabali
21
L. Renteria
19
F. Figueroa
10
K. Alvarez
⚽ 67' ⚽ 84'
16
T. Molina
↓ 63'
14
J. Montes
↓ 73'
30
M. Gomez
↓ 63'
7
J. Campana
⚽ 70' ↓ 85'
Substitutes
26
A. Macea
6
F. Torres
↑ 63'
8
C. Copete
↑ 63'
11
A. Mora
25
S. E. Bello Vivas
↑ 63'
28
C. S. Salguero Zapata
29
J. Sanchez
32
X. Betancurt
↑ 85'
38
J. Riuz
↑ 73'
Internacional Palmira 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Perez
13
J. Angulo
3
A. Mejia
78
M. Caicedo
25
A. Alvarez
80
H. Suarez
6
J. J. Velez Carey
↓ 83'
7
J. Mosquera
↓ 63'
18
J. Mosquera
⚽ 6' ↓ 63'
11
Padilla Kevin
↓ 73'
9
R. Brochero
↓ 83'
Substitutes
12
M. Rico
31
J. Popo
↑ 73'
4
Y. Ariza
↑ 83'
20
M. Lema
↑ 83'
14
D. Orozco
↑ 63'
21
J. Moreno
23
R. Correa
↑ 63'
Last matches: Patriotas
24.08.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
2
0
W
20.08.26
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
1
D
31.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Envigado
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Leones FC
1
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Ind. Yumbo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
3
3
D
16.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
12.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Tigres FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Barranquilla
0
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
25.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
0
3
L
20.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
Last matches: Internacional Palmira
25.08.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Barranquilla
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Quindio
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Bogota FC
0
0
D
19.05.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Tigres FC
2
2
D
15.05.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Quindio
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Envigado
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Envigado
0
0
D
30.04.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Quindio
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Tigres FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Popayan
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Orsomarso
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Tigres FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Leones FC
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Ind. Yumbo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Real Cartagena
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Real Cundinamarca
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Real Santander
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Barranquilla
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Envigado
2
1
W
H2H: Patriotas vs Internacional Palmira
26.07.26
H2H
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
3
1
W
25.01.26
H2H
Internacional Palmira
Patriotas
3
1
L
26.08.25
H2H
Internacional Palmira
Patriotas
1
0
L
17.03.25
H2H
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
2
0
W
Last matches: Patriotas
24.08.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
2
0
W
20.08.26
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Leones FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
3
3
D
12.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
23.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
0
3
L
15.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
1
0
W
07.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pri
Patriotas
Jaguares
2
1
W
13.10.25
Pri
Patriotas
Huila
1
0
W
26.09.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
16.09.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
3
1
W
31.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
2
0
W
03.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
1
0
W
21.07.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
H2H at home: Patriotas
26.07.26
H2H
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
3
1
W
17.03.25
H2H
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
2
0
W
Last matches: Internacional Palmira
08.08.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Quindio
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Quindio
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Envigado
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Tigres FC
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Orsomarso
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Leones FC
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Real Cartagena
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Real Cundinamarca
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Barranquilla
4
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Depor FC
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Bogota FC
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Cucuta
0
4
L
15.11.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Huila
0
1
L
07.11.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Jaguares
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Real Cundinamarca
0
2
L
13.10.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Orsomarso
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Tigres FC
1
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Depor FC
2
4
L
01.09.25
Pri
Internacional Palmira
Barranquilla
4
1
W
H2H away: Internacional Palmira
26.07.26
H2H
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
3
1
L
17.03.25
H2H
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
2
0
L

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 48:30 18 50
W W L D W
2 25 14 8 3 35:20 15 50
W D D L D
3 27 14 6 7 37:24 13 48
L L D W D
4 25 13 7 5 27:16 11 46
W D D L L
5 24 12 6 6 35:21 14 42
L D L D D
6 26 8 9 9 22:26 -4 33
W L L D W
7 25 8 7 10 22:24 -2 31
W W D L D
8 25 7 7 11 30:32 -2 28
L D D L L
9 19 6 8 5 18:16 2 26
L W D W D
10 19 6 7 6 21:21 0 25
W D D W L
11 19 6 7 6 17:18 -1 25
W D D W D
12 20 3 9 8 19:25 -6 18
L D W D L
13 20 4 6 10 13:32 -19 18
L D W D W
14 19 3 8 8 18:25 -7 17
L L D W L
15 20 2 7 11 17:34 -17 13
W D D D L
16 19 1 8 10 16:31 -15 11
L D D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)