ITALY SERIE A
20.09.2026 13:00
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Parma
Match Timeline
Genoa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
D. Drobnic
Parma
🟨
14'
S. Otoa
Genoa
38'
D. Romero · Assist: E. B. Toure
Parma
🟨
44'
A. Marcandalli
Genoa
🔄
56'
D. Romero ↔ N. Elphege
Parma
🔄
56'
E. B. Toure ↔ P. Almqvist
Parma
🔄
60'
K. Ehizibue ↔ S. El Shaarawy
Genoa
🔄
60'
S. Otoa ↔ D. Puczka
Genoa
🔄
67'
S. Lontani ↔ G. Fabbian
Parma
🔄
69'
T. Baldanzi ↔ L. Colombo
Genoa
70'
M. Osmajic · Assist: L. Colombo
Genoa
80'
P. Almqvist · Assist: N. Elphege
Parma
🔄
81'
Diego Carlos ↔ S. Britschgi
Parma
🔄
81'
V. Sierro ↔ C. Ordonez
Parma
🔄
85'
D. Sow ↔ Vitinha
Genoa
🔄
85'
Junior Messias ↔ H. J. Traore
Genoa
🟨
85'
E. Delprato
Parma
🟨
90+2'
M. E. Ellertsson
Genoa
🟨
90+3'
M. Troilo
Parma

Parma vs Genoa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.9%
1.50
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
1.55
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.35
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-1
-
5.50
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 37%
Draw 40.9%
Genoa Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma1.22
Genoa1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
7 GF / 13 GA
Genoa Genoa
WLDWL
13 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
2.09
5
BTTS Yes
6
1
Over 2.5
5
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 11 matches
Genoa Genoa 11 matches
Parma Statistic Genoa
1 Wins 4
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
7 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 23
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 2.09
5 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 7
1 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.33
9.5 Total Shots 16.33
4.67 Corners 6.33
42.5% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 6 times, Genoa won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Parma's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Parma 3-4-2-1 / Genoa 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Parma 3, Genoa 3
H2H summary: Parma wins 6, draws 4, Genoa wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15
Parma Home
5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19
Genoa Away
5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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Play-offs
Relegation