Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Parma
AS Roma
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Parma
38 matches
AS Roma
46 matches
| Parma | Statistic | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 25 |
| 13 | Draws | 6 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 30 | Goals For | 71 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.03 | Shots On Goal | 4.59 |
| 10.97 | Total Shots | 13.24 |
| 4 | Corners | 5.09 |
| 44.2% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AS Roma's more proactive style and Parma's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AS Roma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 64 points while Parma sit 12 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AS Roma. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Parma expected to line up in 3-5-2 and AS Roma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AS Roma having the stronger overall control.
Parma sit 12 with 42 points after 35 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses, while the 25:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals), with creative support from A. Benedyczak (2 assists), G. Strefezza (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
AS Roma come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 64 points after 35 matches. The return of 20 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 52:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Malen (11 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), Wesley Franca (5 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), D. Rensch (4 assists), M. Kone (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Bove unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 2 times, AS Roma won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:31 from Parma's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Parma
3
7
5
5
3
3
Lineups
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Como
Parma
Inter
Parma
Pisa
Parma
Udinese
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Lazio
Parma
Cremonese
Parma
Torino
Parma
Fiorentina
Parma
Cagliari
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
Hellas Verona
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Juventus
Parma
Atalanta
Parma
Genoa
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Lecce
Parma
Inter
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Lazio
AS Roma
Fiorentina
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
Pisa
AS Roma
Inter
AS Roma
Lecce
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Como
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma
Juventus
AS Roma
Cremonese
AS Roma
Napoli
AS Roma
Cagliari
AS Roma
Udinese
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
AC Milan
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Pisa
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Cremonese
Parma
Cagliari
Parma
Hellas Verona
Parma
Juventus
Parma
Genoa
Parma
Inter
Parma
Fiorentina
Parma
Lazio
Parma
Udinese
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Como
Parma
Lecce
Parma
Torino
Parma
Spezia
Parma
Atalanta
Parma
Pescara
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Inter
AS Roma
Como
AS Roma
Bologna
AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma
Napoli
AS Roma
Udinese
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
Torino
AS Roma
Lecce
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
Juventus
AS Roma
Celtic
AS Roma
Cagliari
AS Roma
Cremonese
AS Roma
Rangers
AS Roma
AC Milan
AS Roma
Sassuolo
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
AS Roma
Away
|
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Parma
Home
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|