Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
84.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4%
|
- |
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paris Saint Germain
45 matches
Nantes
31 matches
| Paris Saint Germain | Statistic | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 17 |
| 106 | Goals For | 31 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 2.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 20 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 7 | Shots On Goal | 3.23 |
| 18.38 | Total Shots | 10.61 |
| 6.11 | Corners | 3.19 |
| 68.6% | Ball Possession | 43.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Paris Saint Germain's more proactive style and Nantes's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nantes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paris Saint Germain expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nantes in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nantes having the stronger overall control. Paris Saint Germain arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 63 points compared to Nantes in 17 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Paris Saint Germain come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 63 points after 28 matches. They have recorded 20 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 61:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Barcola (10 goals), O. Dembele (10 goals), Gonçalo Ramos (6 goals), with creative support from Vitinha (7 assists), O. Dembele (5 assists), N. Mendes (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. Although they are without Q. Ndjantou, N. Mendes, Vitinha, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Nantes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 20 points from 29 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 24:45, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through M. Abline (5 goals), Mostafa Mohamed (4 goals), Fabien Centonze (3 goals), with creative support from M. Abline (3 assists), Chidozie Awaziem (2 assists), B. Guirassy (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Centonze, D. Tabibou, T. Tati unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 11 times, Nantes won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:12 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Paris Saint Germain
6
4
4
2
4
5
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Angers
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Nantes
La Roche VF
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Fleury 91
Nantes
Lens
Nantes
Marseille
Nantes
Rennes
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Nantes
Strasbourg
Nantes
Angers
Nantes
Lille
Nantes
Le Havre
Nantes
Monaco
Nantes
Lyon
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Nice
Nantes
Paris FC
Nantes
Nice
Nantes
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
Tottenham
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Fleury 91
Nantes
Lens
Nantes
Rennes
Nantes
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Nantes
Lille
Nantes
Monaco
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Marseille
Nantes
Concarneau
Nantes
Angers
Nantes
Lyon
Nantes
Le Havre
Nantes
Paris FC
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Toulouse
Nantes
Nice
Nantes
Strasbourg
Nantes
Auxerre
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
Home
|
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Nantes
Away
|
33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|