Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
53.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73%
|
- |
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paris Saint Germain
44 matches
Lyon
43 matches
| Paris Saint Germain | Statistic | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wins | 25 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 105 | Goals For | 71 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 2.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 20 | Clean Sheets | 22 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 7.02 | Shots On Goal | 4.91 |
| 18.27 | Total Shots | 13.02 |
| 5.95 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 68.5% | Ball Possession | 57.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Lyon seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paris Saint Germain expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Lyon in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lyon having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lyon. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Paris Saint Germain come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Paris Saint Germain arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 63 points compared to Lyon in 5 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 1 place with 63 points from 27 games, Paris Saint Germain bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a 61:23 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on B. Barcola (10 goals), O. Dembele (10 goals), Gonçalo Ramos (6 goals), with creative support from Vitinha (7 assists), O. Dembele (5 assists), N. Mendes (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. Although they are without Q. Ndjantou, F. Ruiz, N. Mendes, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Lyon arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 51 points after 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 43:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Sulc (11 goals), C. Tolisso (8 goals), Abner Vinícius (3 goals), with creative support from Afonso Moreira (6 assists), Endrick (5 assists), P. Sulc (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Fofana, R. Himbert, N. Kamara, N. Tagliafico unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, Lyon won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Paris Saint Germain
6
5
10
1
7
0
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Angers
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon
Rennes
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Laval
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
PAOK
Lyon
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
Tottenham
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Metz
Lyon
BSC Young Boys
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Real Betis
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
Utrecht
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
Home
|
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lyon
Away
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|