Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
93%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paris Saint Germain
48 matches
Lorient
35 matches
| Paris Saint Germain | Statistic | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 117 | Goals For | 54 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 32 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 19 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 7 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 18.13 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 68.2% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Paris Saint Germain's more proactive style and Lorient's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Paris Saint Germain come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paris Saint Germain expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Lorient in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lorient having the stronger overall control. Paris Saint Germain arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 69 points compared to Lorient in 9 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lorient.
Paris Saint Germain come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 69 points after 30 matches. The return of 22 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 68:25, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Barcola (10 goals), O. Dembele (10 goals), K. Kvaratskhelia (7 goals), with creative support from Vitinha (7 assists), O. Dembele (6 assists), N. Mendes (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Lorient sit 9 with 41 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 42:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ahmadou Bamba Dieng (9 goals), Pablo Pagis (9 goals), A. Tosin (4 goals), with creative support from A. Kouassi (6 assists), Pablo Pagis (3 assists), Bamo Meïté (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 9 times, Lorient won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:15 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
Home
|
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Lorient
Away
|
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|