FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Jean Bouin
Referee: G. Paradis
Paris FC
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
O. Dembele ↔ G. Ramos
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
46'
D. Lucea ↔ D. Fernandez
Paris Saint Germain
50'
B. Barcola · Assist: F. Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
58'
K. Kvaratskhelia ↔ S. Mayulu
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
58'
W. Zaire-Emery ↔ Lee Kang-In
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
58'
B. Barcola ↔ I. Mbaye
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
67'
M. Simon ↔ M. Lopez
Paris FC
🔄
67'
M. Munetsi ↔ I. Kebbal
Paris FC
🔄
67'
J. Ikone ↔ A. Gory
Paris FC
🔄
68'
W. Geubbels ↔ L. Koleosho
Paris FC
🔄
68'
Vitinha ↔ J. Neves
Paris Saint Germain
76'
A. Gory · Assist: P. Lees-Melou
Paris FC
🔄
77'
R. Matondo ↔ V. Marchetti
Paris FC
🔄
84'
Otavio ↔ H. Traore
Paris FC
🟨
90+4'
Alimami Gory
Paris FC
🟨
90+1'
Maxime López
Paris FC
90'
A. Gory · Assist: L. Koleosho
Paris FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paris FC Win 34.3%
Draw 8.6%
Paris Saint Germain Win 57.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris FC1.22
Paris Saint Germain1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris FC Paris FC
WWDLW
49 GF / 51 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
123 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
2.37
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1
20
BTTS Yes
25
19
Over 2.5
33
3.83
Shots on Goal
6.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris FC Paris FC 36 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 52 matches
Paris FC Statistic Paris Saint Germain
12 Wins 35
11 Draws 9
13 Losses 8
49 Goals For 123
51 Goals Against 52
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.37
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1
20 BTTS Yes 25
26 Over 1.5 42
19 Over 2.5 33
11 Over 3.5 20
10 Clean Sheets 24
10 Failed To Score 4
3.83 Shots On Goal 6.88
11.53 Total Shots 18.12
4.39 Corners 6.23
51% Ball Possession 67.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Paris Saint Germain's more proactive style and Paris FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Paris Saint Germain carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 73 points while Paris FC sit 11 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Paris Saint Germain. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paris FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Paris Saint Germain in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Paris Saint Germain having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Paris FC Analysis

Paris FC sit 11 with 41 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 45:49 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Kebbal (9 goals), W. Geubbels (5 goals), M. Munetsi (4 goals), with creative support from I. Kebbal (4 assists), M. Simon (3 assists), M. Lopez (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paris Saint Germain Analysis

Paris Saint Germain approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 73 points after 32 outings. With 23 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 71:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Barcola (10 goals), O. Dembele (10 goals), D. Doue (7 goals), with creative support from Vitinha (7 assists), O. Dembele (6 assists), N. Mendes (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC won 2 times, Paris Saint Germain won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Paris FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Paris FC 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
Missing players: Paris FC 5, Paris Saint Germain 5
H2H summary: Paris FC wins 2, draws 0, Paris Saint Germain wins 2
Stats
Paris FC Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 9
7 Offsides 2
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
15 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
395 Total passes 682
336 Passes accurate 615
2.20 expected_goals 0.61
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Paris FC
Formation
Paris Saint Germain
K. Trapp
K. Trapp
A. Camara
A. Camara
S. Chergui
S. Chergui
D. Coppola
D. Coppola
Otavio
Otavio
J. Ikone
J. Ikone
R. Matondo
R. Matondo
P. Lees-Melou
🎯
P. Lees-Melou
M. Simon
M. Simon
M. Munetsi
M. Munetsi
W. Geubbels
W. Geubbels
M. Safonov
M. Safonov
W. Zaire-Emery
W. Zaire-Emery
I. Zabarnyi
I. Zabarnyi
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D. Lucea
D. Lucea
L. Beraldo
L. Beraldo
Vitinha
Vitinha
F. Ruiz
🎯
F. Ruiz
B. Barcola
B. Barcola
O. Dembele
O. Dembele
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
Paris FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
35
K. Trapp
G
17
A. Camara
D
31
S. Chergui
D
42
D. Coppola
D
6
Otavio
↓ 84'
D
93
J. Ikone
↓ 67'
M
23
R. Matondo
↓ 77'
M
33
P. Lees-Melou
🎯 76'
M
27
M. Simon
↓ 67'
M
18
M. Munetsi
↓ 67'
F
9
W. Geubbels
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
16
O. Nkambadio
G
21
M. Lopez
↑ 67' 🟨 90+1'
M
10
I. Kebbal
↑ 67'
M
14
H. Traore
↑ 84'
D
28
T. De Smet
D
4
V. Marchetti
↑ 77'
M
13
M. Cafaro
M
7
A. Gory
⚽ 76' ⚽ 90' ↑ 67' 🟨 90+4'
F
24
L. Koleosho
🎯 90' ↑ 68'
F
Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
Starting XI
39
M. Safonov
G
33
W. Zaire-Emery
↓ 58'
D
6
I. Zabarnyi
D
5
Marquinhos
D
54
D. Lucea
↓ 46'
D
4
L. Beraldo
M
17
Vitinha
↓ 68'
M
8
F. Ruiz
🎯 50'
M
29
B. Barcola
⚽ 50' ↓ 58'
F
10
O. Dembele
↓ 27'
F
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
89
R. Marin
G
9
G. Ramos
↑ 27'
F
87
J. Neves
↑ 68'
M
24
S. Mayulu
↑ 58'
M
27
D. Fernandez
↑ 46'
M
21
L. Hernandez
D
19
Lee Kang-In
↑ 58'
M
14
D. Doue
F
49
I. Mbaye
↑ 58'
F
Last matches: Paris FC
18.07.26
Fri
Paris FC
Reims
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Paris FC
Rennes
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
4
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lille
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Metz
3
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Monaco
4
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lorient
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Le Havre
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Strasbourg
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lyon
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Nice
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Toulouse
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lens
0
5
L
08.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Auxerre
0
0
D
04.02.26
Cou
Paris FC
Lorient
0
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Marseille
2
2
D
25.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Angers
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Nantes
2
1
W
12.01.26
Cou
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
04.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
Last matches: Paris Saint Germain
30.05.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
2
2
D
28.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
5
4
W
25.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Angers
3
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
3
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
1
2
L
14.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
2
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
3
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
3
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
5
2
W
06.03.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
1
0
W
25.02.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
3
2
W
H2H: Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
17.05.26
H2H
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
12.01.26
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
0
1
W
04.01.26
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
2
1
L
16.12.22
H2H
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
2
1
L
Last matches: Paris FC
18.07.26
Fri
Paris FC
Reims
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
4
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lille
0
1
L
10.04.26
Lig
Paris FC
Monaco
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Le Havre
3
2
W
01.03.26
Lig
Paris FC
Nice
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Paris FC
Lens
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Marseille
2
2
D
25.01.26
Lig
Paris FC
Angers
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lig
Paris FC
Toulouse
0
3
L
29.11.25
Lig
Paris FC
Auxerre
1
1
D
07.11.25
Lig
Paris FC
Rennes
0
1
L
29.10.25
Lig
Paris FC
Lyon
3
3
D
24.10.25
Lig
Paris FC
Nantes
1
2
L
03.10.25
Lig
Paris FC
Lorient
2
0
W
21.09.25
Lig
Paris FC
Strasbourg
2
3
L
31.08.25
Lig
Paris FC
Metz
3
2
W
13.08.19
Cou
Paris FC
Sochaux
2
1
W
H2H at home: Paris FC
17.05.26
H2H
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
Last matches: Paris Saint Germain
13.05.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
2
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Angers
3
0
W
14.04.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
1
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
3
2
W
13.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
1
3
L
01.02.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Strasbourg
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
1
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Sporting CP
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cou
Paris Saint Germain
Vendée Fontenay
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
3
2
W
10.12.25
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Athletic Club
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0
1
L
09.11.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
3
2
W
29.10.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Paris Saint Germain
Bayer Leverkusen
7
2
W
H2H away: Paris Saint Germain
17.05.26
H2H
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Paris FC 5 missing
-
S. Alakouch
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Hamel
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
J. Lopez
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
M. Mbow
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
N. Sangui
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
Paris Saint Germain 5 missing
-
A. Hakimi
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Q. Ndjantou
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
L. Chevalier
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Mendes
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
W. Pacho
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT