FRANCE LIGUE 1
12.09.2026 18:45
Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paris FC Win 56.4%
Draw 9.2%
Lyon Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris FC1.56
Lyon1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris FC Paris FC
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
4
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris FC Paris FC 8 matches
Lyon Lyon 13 matches
Paris FC Statistic Lyon
3 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 27
13 Goals Against 19
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
4 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 5.86
14.33 Total Shots 15.14
2.67 Corners 5.71
47.7% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC won 0 times, Lyon won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Paris FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Paris FC 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-3-3
H2H summary: Paris FC wins 0, draws 2, Lyon wins 0

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W W D
3
Lyon Away
3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
4 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
5 3 2 1 0 7:5 2 7
W W D
6 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
W W L
7 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
W D D
8 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
9 3 1 1 1 4:7 -3 4
L W D
10 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
11 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
12 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
13 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
14 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
D L D
15 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
D L D
16 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
L D L
17 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation