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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
12.09.2026 18:45
Stade Jean Bouin
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Paris FC
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
63'
Loïs Openda
Lyon
🟨
69'
Diego Coppola
Paris FC
🔄
75'
L. Openda ↔ K. Nakamura
Lyon
🟨
77'
Hamari Traoré
Paris FC
🔄
79'
L. Koleosho ↔ R. Matondo
Paris FC
🔄
79'
P. Pagis ↔ M. Simon
Paris FC
🔄
87'
I. Kebbal ↔ J. Ikone
Paris FC
🔄
87'
M. Bidstrup ↔ T. Tessmann
Lyon
🔄
87'
E. Nuamah ↔ K. Boudache
Lyon

Paris FC vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Paris FC Win 56.4%
Draw 9.2%
Lyon Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris FC1.56
Lyon1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris FC Paris FC
W W D L L
8 GF / 9 GA
Lyon Lyon
W D L W D
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
4
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris FC Paris FC 8 matches
Lyon Lyon 13 matches
Paris FC Statistic Lyon
3 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
13 Goals For 27
13 Goals Against 19
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
4 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 5.86
14.33 Total Shots 15.14
2.67 Corners 5.71
47.3% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC won 0 times, Lyon won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Paris FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Paris FC 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Paris FC 5, Lyon 4
H2H summary: Paris FC wins 0, draws 2, Lyon wins 0

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lyon Away
7 4 2 1 13:5 8 14
W L W D W
2 7 4 2 1 14:9 5 14
W W W W L
3 7 4 2 1 10:5 5 14
D W L W W
4 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
L W L W D
5 7 4 2 1 10:6 4 14
L D W D W
6 8 4 1 3 16:12 4 13
W W W L D
7 7 4 1 2 15:14 1 13
L W L W W
8 7 3 2 2 7:6 1 11
W W L D W
9 8 3 2 3 8:10 -2 11
W L W W L
10 7 3 0 4 14:10 4 9
W W L L L
11 8 2 3 3 14:12 2 9
L D W L L
12 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
W D W D L
13 7 3 0 4 11:17 -6 9
W L W W L
14 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:15 -6 7
L L W D L
16 7 1 3 3 10:15 -5 6
L L W D D
17 7 1 1 5 5:16 -11 4
L L L L L
18 7 0 2 5 5:11 -6 2
L L L D L
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