Login Register
17.10.2026 13:00
Letni Stadion
Referee: Lukas Nehasil
Pardubice
Match Timeline
Zlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Marek Icha · Assist: Ryan Mahuta
Pardubice
⚽
33'
Victor Samuel · Assist: Ioannis Foivos Botos
Pardubice
🔄
45'
Daniel Smiga ↔ Tomáš Poznar
Zlin
🔄
45'
Cletus Nombil ↔ Frank Appiah
Zlin
🟨
55'
Michal Fukala
Zlin
🔄
59'
Michal Fukala ↔ Stanley Guzorochi Kanu
Zlin
🔄
60'
Ioannis Foivos Botos ↔ Tomas Jelinek
Pardubice
⚽
64'
Tomas Jelinek · Assist: Václav Drchal
Pardubice
🔄
69'
Ondřej Kukučka ↔ David Grygera
Zlin
🔄
71'
Victor Samuel ↔ Kahuan Vinicius
Pardubice
🔄
72'
Václav Drchal ↔ Martin Reil
Pardubice
🔄
76'
David Machalík ↔ Michal Cupák
Zlin
🔄
85'
Ryan Mahuta ↔ Mouhamed Tidjane Traore
Pardubice
🔄
85'
Marek Icha ↔ Jiri Zima
Pardubice

Pardubice vs Zlin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pardubice Win 72.1%
Draw 13.4%
Zlin Win 14.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pardubice1.48
Zlin1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pardubice Pardubice
L W W W D
8 GF / 5 GA
Zlin Zlin
L L D L L
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
12
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
13
4.4
Shots on Goal
2.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pardubice Pardubice 20 matches
Zlin Zlin 22 matches
Pardubice Statistic Zlin
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 3
8 Losses 14
27 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 37
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
12 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
4.4 Shots On Goal 2.3
12.9 Total Shots 11.1
4.8 Corners 4.5
45.5% Ball Possession 40.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Zlin. Zlin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Pardubice arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 8 points compared to Zlin in 16 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pardubice expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Zlin in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zlin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Pardubice Analysis

Pardubice sit 13 with 8 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 9:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tobias Boledovic (2 goals), Václav Drchal (2 goals), Ryan Mahuta (1 goals), with creative support from Ryan Mahuta (2 assists), Tobias Boledovic (1 assists), Václav Drchal (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zlin Analysis

Zlin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 1 points from 10 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 8:20, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Jakub Černín (2 goals), Daniel Šmiga (2 goals), Michal Fukala (1 goals), with creative support from Marián Pišoja (3 assists), Stanley Kanu (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice won 4 times, Zlin won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Pardubice's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Pardubice 3-4-1-2 / Zlin 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Pardubice wins 4, draws 5, Zlin wins 4

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 4 0 32:7 25 31
W D D W W
2 13 7 3 3 22:15 7 24
W D W L L
3 13 7 3 3 22:15 7 24
W D W D L
4 13 7 2 4 25:13 12 23
D W D W W
5 12 7 2 3 15:8 7 23
W L L D W
6 13 6 3 4 21:18 3 21
W D L D W
7 13 6 2 5 16:18 -2 20
L W L W D
8 13 6 2 5 16:19 -3 20
L D W L L
9 13 5 4 4 28:21 7 19
W L W W L
10 12 4 5 3 13:13 0 17
D D W W L
11 13 4 3 6 12:18 -6 15
L L D L L
12 13 4 2 7 15:19 -4 14
L W W L W
13 12 3 2 7 7:22 -15 11
L D L D L
14 12 2 4 6 13:22 -9 10
D D W D L
15 13 1 4 8 12:26 -14 7
L L L W D
16
Zlin Away
13 0 3 10 11:26 -15 3
D D L L D
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs