WORLD WORLD CUP
04.07.2026 21:00
Lincoln Financial Field
Referee: Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan
Paraguay
Match Timeline
France
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Bradley Barcola
France
🔄
58'
O. Alderete ↔ J. Canale
Paraguay
🔄
61'
J. Enciso ↔ G. Caballero
Paraguay
🔄
61'
B. Barcola ↔ D. Doue
France
VAR
67'
Désiré Doué
France
70'
K. Mbappe
France
🔄
71'
M. Almiron ↔ G. Avalos
Paraguay
🔄
71'
G. Gomez ↔ Mauricio
Paraguay
🟨
81'
Manu Koné
France
🔄
84'
O. Dembele ↔ R. Cherki
France
🟨
90+7'
Michael Olise
France

Paraguay vs France Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paraguay Win 30%
Draw 4.1%
France Win 66%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paraguay1.13
France2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paraguay Paraguay
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
France France
WLDWL
22 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
2.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
8
2.14
Shots on Goal
6.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paraguay Paraguay 7 matches
France France 8 matches
Paraguay Statistic France
3 Wins 7
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
9 Goals For 22
7 Goals Against 7
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
3 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
2.14 Shots On Goal 6.63
5.86 Total Shots 17
1.57 Corners 5.5
23.3% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Paraguay won 0 times, France won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Paraguay's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Paraguay 5-4-1 / France 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Paraguay wins 0, draws 0, France wins 2

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 0 1 8:4 4 6
L W L W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:4 -2 4
L W D W L
4 3 1 0 2 3:5 -2 3
W L L
Round of 32