WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Aukštaitija Stadium
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam, Norway
Panevėžys
Match Timeline
FK Tobol Kostanay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Valdas Paulauskas
Panevėžys
🟨
35'
Luis Guerra
FK Tobol Kostanay
🔄
41'
S. Busurmanov ↔ D. Ustimenko
FK Tobol Kostanay
🟨
45+2'
Seydina Keita
Panevėžys
45'
S. Keita
Panevėžys
🔄
46'
D. Zhumat ↔ A. Talal
FK Tobol Kostanay
🟨
58'
Kwadwo Asamoah
Panevėžys
60'
Askhat Tagybergen
FK Tobol Kostanay
🟨
63'
Parfait Bizoza
Panevėžys
🔄
71'
V. Paulauskas ↔ S. Kouadio
Panevėžys
🔄
71'
N. Petkevicius ↔ M. Bacanin
Panevėžys
🔄
71'
K. Asamoah ↔ O. Kurtsev
Panevėžys
🔄
71'
L. Guerra ↔ A. Zuev
FK Tobol Kostanay
🔄
77'
D. Balsys ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
84'
N. Cavnic · Assist: A. Tagybergen
FK Tobol Kostanay
🟨
86'
Uroš Milovanović
FK Tobol Kostanay
🔄
87'
N. Cavnic ↔ P. Ndiaye
FK Tobol Kostanay
🔄
88'
I. Asante ↔ J. Janusevskis
Panevėžys

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Panevėžys Win 60.7%
Draw 7.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panevėžys1.18
FK Tobol Kostanay0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WWDLW
32 GF / 43 GA
FK Tobol Kostanay FK Tobol Kostanay
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
16
BTTS Yes
1
16
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panevėžys Panevėžys 28 matches
FK Tobol Kostanay FK Tobol Kostanay 4 matches
Panevėžys Statistic FK Tobol Kostanay
11 Wins 1
5 Draws 1
12 Losses 2
32 Goals For 2
43 Goals Against 5
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
16 BTTS Yes 1
21 Over 1.5 2
16 Over 2.5 2
7 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Panevėžys won 0 times, FK Tobol Kostanay won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Panevėžys's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Panevėžys 4-3-3 / FK Tobol Kostanay 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Panevėžys wins 0, draws 2, FK Tobol Kostanay wins 0

Lineups

Panevėžys
Formation
FK Tobol Kostanay
V. Cerniauskas
V. Cerniauskas
E. Burdzilauskas
E. Burdzilauskas
S. Keita
S. Keita
S. Kerkez
S. Kerkez
D. Balsys
D. Balsys
P. Bizoza
P. Bizoza
M. Ramanauskas
M. Ramanauskas
I. Asante
I. Asante
V. Paulauskas
V. Paulauskas
K. Asamoah
K. Asamoah
N. Petkevicius
N. Petkevicius
S. Busurmanov
S. Busurmanov
N. Zhagorov
N. Zhagorov
N. Cavnic
N. Cavnic
R. Senhadji
R. Senhadji
A. Borsic
A. Borsic
A. Tagybergen
🎯
A. Tagybergen
M. Myakish
M. Myakish
I. Chesnokov
I. Chesnokov
D. Zhumat
D. Zhumat
L. Guerra
L. Guerra
U. Milovanovic
U. Milovanovic
Panevėžys 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
V. Cerniauskas
G
28
E. Burdzilauskas
F
33
S. Keita
⚽ 45' 🟨 45+2'
D
13
S. Kerkez
D
66
D. Balsys
↓ 77'
D
77
P. Bizoza
🟨 63'
M
6
M. Ramanauskas
M
34
I. Asante
↓ 88'
M
79
V. Paulauskas
↓ 71' 🟨 22'
M
27
K. Asamoah
↓ 71' 🟨 58'
M
24
N. Petkevicius
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
12
L. Valius
G
22
A. Brazinskas
G
5
M. van den Bos
8
S. Kouadio
↑ 71'
M
15
J. Janusevskis
↑ 88'
D
16
M. Bacanin
↑ 71'
F
17
O. Kurtsev
↑ 71'
M
25
I. Lukosevicius
D
80
Elivelton
M
95
J. Bopesu
↑ 77'
D
FK Tobol Kostanay 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Busurmanov
↓ 41'
G
21
N. Zhagorov
M
4
N. Cavnic
⚽ 84' ↓ 87'
D
72
R. Senhadji
D
25
A. Borsic
D
8
A. Tagybergen
⚽ 60' 🎯 84'
M
6
M. Myakish
M
10
I. Chesnokov
M
19
D. Zhumat
↓ 46'
F
30
L. Guerra
↓ 71' 🟨 35'
M
18
U. Milovanovic
🟨 86'
F
Substitutes
35
Y. Melikhov
44
D. Ustimenko
↑ 41'
G
3
R. Asrankulov
D
5
P. Ndiaye
↑ 87'
D
14
A. Talal
↑ 46'
M
17
A. Zuev
↑ 71'
M
22
A. Marochkin
D
56
E. Musaev
M
57
A. Zinadin
M
Last matches: Panevėžys
30.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
11.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
L
04.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
29.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
20.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
3
2
W
16.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
L
12.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
30.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
4
L
24.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
06.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
2
3
L
03.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
25.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
1
L
18.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
1
3
L
12.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
05.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
21.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
15.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Trakai
2
1
W
10.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
4
L
07.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
Last matches: FK Tobol Kostanay
30.07.26
UEF
FK Tobol Kostanay
Panevėžys
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
3
L
25.01.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Napredak
0
0
D
H2H: Panevėžys vs FK Tobol Kostanay
30.07.26
H2H
FK Tobol Kostanay
Panevėžys
1
1
D
23.07.26
H2H
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
Last matches: Panevėžys
04.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
29.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
20.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
3
2
W
12.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
24.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
03.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
05.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
15.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Trakai
2
1
W
07.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
22.02.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Panevėžys
Metta / LU
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
Tukums
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
08.11.25
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
1
W
22.10.25
A L
Panevėžys
FK Trakai
0
1
L
01.10.25
A L
Panevėžys
Dainava
3
1
W
H2H at home: Panevėžys
23.07.26
H2H
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
Last matches: FK Tobol Kostanay
13.02.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
3
L
25.01.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
FK Tobol Kostanay
Napredak
0
0
D
H2H away: FK Tobol Kostanay
23.07.26
H2H
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D