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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
18.10.2026 14:00
Panetolikos Stadium

Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Panetolikos Win 39%
Draw 22.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panetolikos1.15
Olympiakos Piraeus1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
2.67
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panetolikos Panetolikos 8 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 15 matches
Panetolikos Statistic Olympiakos Piraeus
3 Wins 7
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
10 Goals For 16
12 Goals Against 15
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
2.67 Shots On Goal 4.78
8.83 Total Shots 17.33
3.17 Corners 7.78
44.3% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panetolikos expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Olympiakos Piraeus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olympiakos Piraeus having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Olympiakos Piraeus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Panetolikos Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Panetolikos have collected 9 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:7 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Opoku (2 goals), Diego Esteban (1 goals), C. Mavrias (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Esteban (2 assists), Christian Manrique (2 assists), Y. Kucherenko (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 10 points from 5 games, Olympiakos Piraeus bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 4:2, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jota Silva (2 goals), M. Saliakas (1 goals), David Carmo (1 goals), with creative support from M. Saliakas (1 assists), R. Freuler (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panetolikos won 1 times, Olympiakos Piraeus won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:35 from Panetolikos's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Panetolikos 4-1-4-1 / Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Panetolikos wins 1, draws 1, Olympiakos Piraeus wins 13

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 12:3 9 15
L W W W W
2 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
3 6 4 1 1 5:2 3 13
W W L D W
4 6 4 0 2 13:8 5 12
L W W L W
5 6 3 1 2 8:12 -4 10
W D L L W
6 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
7 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
8 6 3 0 3 8:9 -1 9
L L L W W
9 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W W D L L
10 6 2 1 3 9:9 0 7
W L W D L
11 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W D D L L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 6 0 1 5 0:11 -11 1
L L D L L
14 6 0 2 4 6:12 -6
L L L D D
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)