GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Panetolikos Stadium
Referee: G. Kokkinos
Panetolikos
Match Timeline
Asteras Tripolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
Esteban Diego ↔ G. Satsias
Panetolikos
🟨
12'
Dimitrios Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis
28'
J. Bartolo
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
46'
C. Sielis ↔ G. Granath
Panetolikos
🔄
61'
A. Bregou ↔ J. Aguirre
Panetolikos
🟨
62'
Nikola Šipčić
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
66'
J. Bartolo ↔ B. Perez
Asteras Tripolis
VAR
68'
Youssouph Badji
Panetolikos
🟨
68'
Dimitrios Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis
🟥
68'
Dimitrios Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis
70'
Lenny Lobato
Panetolikos
🔄
78'
T. Tzandaris ↔ C. Gromitsaris
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
78'
F. Macheda ↔ G. Charalampoglou
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
80'
Charis Mavrias
Panetolikos
82'
G. Charalampoglou · Assist: C. Gromitsaris
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
83'
A. Bouchalakis ↔ E. Nikolaou
Panetolikos
🔄
84'
C. Mavrias ↔ C. Belevonis
Panetolikos
🔄
84'
N. Alho ↔ D. Emmanouilidis
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
84'
J. Mendieta ↔ C. Almyras
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
90+6'
Alexandros Tereziou
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
90+5'
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil
Asteras Tripolis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 35.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 28%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
35.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
28%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
48.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Panetolikos Win 31%
Draw 35.9%
Asteras Tripolis Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panetolikos1.13
Asteras Tripolis1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WWDLW
34 GF / 49 GA
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
WLDWL
34 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
16
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panetolikos Panetolikos 35 matches
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 35 matches
Panetolikos Statistic Asteras Tripolis
9 Wins 7
9 Draws 12
17 Losses 16
34 Goals For 34
49 Goals Against 48
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
16 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 9
16 Failed To Score 14
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.26
9.09 Total Shots 9.89
3.6 Corners 4.8
45.3% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Asteras Tripolis. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panetolikos expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Asteras Tripolis in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Asteras Tripolis having the stronger overall control.

Panetolikos Analysis

Panetolikos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 36 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, while the 34:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alexandru Mățan (5 goals), K. Aleksic (5 goals), Béni Nkololo (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Badji (4 assists), Alexandru Mățan (3 assists), Konrad Michalak (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Asteras Tripolis Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 35 outings, Asteras Tripolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 34:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Bartolo (11 goals), F. Macheda (8 goals), K. Ketu (3 goals), with creative support from K. Ketu (5 assists), J. Bartolo (2 assists), F. Macheda (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panetolikos won 2 times, Asteras Tripolis won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Panetolikos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (69%)
Predicted formations: Panetolikos 4-1-4-1 / Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
H2H summary: Panetolikos wins 2, draws 7, Asteras Tripolis wins 6
Stats
Panetolikos Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 7
14 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
372 Total passes 226
323 Passes accurate 176
2.23 expected_goals 1.86
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Panetolikos
Formation
Asteras Tripolis
Y. Kucherenko
Y. Kucherenko
C. Mavrias
C. Mavrias
L. Kojic
L. Kojic
C. Sielis
C. Sielis
C. Manrique
C. Manrique
Esteban Diego
Esteban Diego
A. Bouchalakis
A. Bouchalakis
A. Bregou
A. Bregou
Lenny Lobato
Lenny Lobato
Y. Badji
Y. Badji
L. Smyrlis
L. Smyrlis
V. Chatziemmanouil
V. Chatziemmanouil
D. Laskaris
D. Laskaris
E. Yablonskiy
E. Yablonskiy
N. Sipcic
N. Sipcic
N. Alho
N. Alho
T. Tzandaris
T. Tzandaris
J. Mendieta
J. Mendieta
A. Tereziou
A. Tereziou
J. Bartolo
J. Bartolo
F. Macheda
F. Macheda
D. Grammenos
D. Grammenos
Panetolikos 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
Y. Kucherenko
G
35
C. Mavrias
↓ 84' 🟨 80'
D
28
L. Kojic
16
C. Sielis
↓ 46'
D
15
C. Manrique
D
22
Esteban Diego
↓ 11'
41
A. Bouchalakis
↓ 83'
M
30
A. Bregou
↓ 61'
M
70
Lenny Lobato
⚽ 70'
F
25
Y. Badji
F
7
L. Smyrlis
F
Substitutes
12
Z. Zivkovic
G
1
M. Pardalos
5
S. Mladen
D
18
G. Satsias
↑ 11'
M
65
A. Apostolopoulos
9
J. Aguirre
↑ 61'
77
E. Nikolaou
↑ 83'
M
23
G. Agapakis
M
71
K. Michalak
M
49
N. Stajic
D
8
C. Belevonis
↑ 84'
M
2
G. Granath
↑ 46'
D
Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
Starting XI
61
V. Chatziemmanouil
🟨 90+5'
G
74
D. Laskaris
D
5
E. Yablonskiy
D
3
N. Sipcic
🟨 62'
D
17
N. Alho
↓ 84'
M
8
T. Tzandaris
↓ 78'
M
32
J. Mendieta
↓ 84'
M
27
A. Tereziou
🟨 90+6'
M
7
J. Bartolo
⚽ 28' ↓ 66'
F
41
F. Macheda
↓ 78'
F
99
D. Grammenos
🟨 12' 🟨 68' 🟥 68'
F
Substitutes
91
T. Kakadiaris
G
55
V. Archontakakis
G
20
N. Kaltsas
F
11
D. Emmanouilidis
↑ 84'
F
68
C. Almyras
↑ 84'
M
80
B. Perez
↑ 66'
13
K. Triantafyllopoulos
D
34
C. Gromitsaris
🎯 82' ↑ 78'
D
10
E. Gonzalez
M
96
A. Simoni
F
26
O. M. Chidera
F
49
G. Charalampoglou
⚽ 82' ↑ 78'
F
Last matches: Panetolikos
17.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
1
D
12.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
0
D
22.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
3
L
08.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
2
1
W
04.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
09.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
0
1
L
21.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
4
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
OFI
0
1
L
19.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Levadiakos
1
3
L
10.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
PAOK
0
3
L
Last matches: Asteras Tripolis
16.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
12.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
4
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
2
L
22.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
0
2
L
21.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
3
L
07.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
2
0
W
04.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
1
3
L
24.01.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
OFI
0
4
L
H2H: Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
21.05.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
22.04.26
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
L
14.02.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
1
D
13.01.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
2
W
19.02.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
2
D
05.11.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
18.03.23
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
L
05.02.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
0
D
16.04.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
Last matches: Panetolikos
12.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
09.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
1
L
19.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Levadiakos
1
3
L
10.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
PAOK
0
3
L
14.12.25
Sup
Panetolikos
AEK Athens FC
0
5
L
30.11.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
08.11.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
3
0
W
18.10.25
Sup
Panetolikos
OFI
4
2
W
28.09.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
13.09.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
1
2
L
23.08.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
0
2
L
H2H at home: Panetolikos
21.05.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
14.02.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
05.11.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
16.04.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
Last matches: Asteras Tripolis
09.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
1
3
L
11.01.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
OFI
0
4
L
13.12.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
26.10.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos
0
2
L
04.10.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
1
2
L
20.09.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
1
2
L
31.08.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
23.08.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
H2H away: Asteras Tripolis
21.05.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
W
14.02.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
05.11.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
W
05.02.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
16.04.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round