GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Olympic Stadium of Athens
Referee: H. U. Meler
Panathinaikos
Match Timeline
Olympiakos Piraeus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Francisco Ortega
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
13'
Andreas Tetteh
Panathinaikos
33'
G. Martins
Olympiakos Piraeus
45'
Rodinei · Assist: Chiquinho
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
46'
A. Tetteh ↔ K. Swiderski
Panathinaikos
🔄
46'
S. Andino ↔ F. Pellistri
Panathinaikos
🔄
66'
R. Sanches ↔ A. Bakasetas
Panathinaikos
🔄
66'
P. Chirivella ↔ M. Siopis
Panathinaikos
🟨
67'
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
Panathinaikos
🟨
68'
Costinha
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
69'
Javier Hernández
Panathinaikos
🔄
77'
Costinha ↔ G. Biancone
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
81'
D. Calabria ↔ M. Pantovic
Panathinaikos
🔄
83'
D. Garcia ↔ C. Mouzakitis
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
89'
Chiquinho ↔ L. Scipioni
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
90+6'
Tasos Bakasetas
Panathinaikos
🟨
90+6'
Santiago Hezze
Olympiakos Piraeus

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Panathinaikos Win 42%
Draw 11.7%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panathinaikos1.13
Olympiakos Piraeus1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
WWDLW
62 GF / 46 GA
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WLDWL
55 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
24
BTTS Yes
12
21
Over 2.5
13
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 45 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 37 matches
Panathinaikos Statistic Olympiakos Piraeus
19 Wins 20
17 Draws 10
9 Losses 7
62 Goals For 55
46 Goals Against 28
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.02 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
24 BTTS Yes 12
33 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 5
16 Clean Sheets 21
12 Failed To Score 10
4.33 Shots On Goal 5.16
12.33 Total Shots 16.92
4.69 Corners 6.51
49.2% Ball Possession 57.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Olympiakos Piraeus. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panathinaikos expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Olympiakos Piraeus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olympiakos Piraeus having the stronger overall control.

Panathinaikos Analysis

Panathinaikos approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 50 points after 27 outings. The return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 44:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Alexander Jeremejeff (6 goals), Anastasios Bakasetas (5 goals), K. Swiderski (5 goals), with creative support from D. Calabria (4 assists), Anastasios Bakasetas (3 assists), Tete (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 58 points after 27 matches. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 45:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. El Kaabi (17 goals), M. Taremi (10 goals), Chiquinho (4 goals), with creative support from D. Podence (5 assists), Chiquinho (4 assists), F. Ortega (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 3 times, Olympiakos Piraeus won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Panathinaikos's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Panathinaikos 5-4-1 / Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Panathinaikos wins 3, draws 7, Olympiakos Piraeus wins 5
Stats
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 1
9 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 3
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
516 Total passes 305
395 Passes accurate 193
0.83 expected_goals 1.96
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Panathinaikos
Formation
Olympiakos Piraeus
A. Lafont
A. Lafont
D. Calabria
D. Calabria
T. Jedvaj
T. Jedvaj
S. I. Ingason
S. I. Ingason
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
G. Kyriakopoulos
G. Kyriakopoulos
V. Taborda
V. Taborda
P. Chirivella
P. Chirivella
R. Sanches
R. Sanches
S. Andino
S. Andino
A. Tetteh
A. Tetteh
K. Tzolakis
K. Tzolakis
Costinha
Costinha
P. Retsos
P. Retsos
L. Pirola
L. Pirola
F. Ortega
F. Ortega
S. Hezze
S. Hezze
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
Rodinei
Rodinei
Chiquinho
🎯
Chiquinho
G. Martins
G. Martins
A. El Kaabi
A. El Kaabi
Panathinaikos 5-4-1
Starting XI
40
A. Lafont
G
2
D. Calabria
↓ 81'
D
21
T. Jedvaj
D
15
S. I. Ingason
D
26
J. Hernandez
🟨 69'
D
77
G. Kyriakopoulos
🟨 67'
D
20
V. Taborda
M
4
P. Chirivella
↓ 66'
M
8
R. Sanches
↓ 66'
M
10
S. Andino
↓ 46'
M
7
A. Tetteh
↓ 46'
Substitutes
70
K. Kotsaris
11
A. Bakasetas
↑ 66' 🟨 90+6'
M
19
K. Swiderski
↑ 46'
F
5
A. Touba
D
27
G. Kotsiras
D
6
M. Siopis
↑ 66'
M
72
M. Pantovic
↑ 81'
M
18
S. Kontouris
M
16
A. Gnezda Cerin
M
28
F. Pellistri
↑ 46'
M
88
A. Jagusic
M
23
P. Pantelidis
Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
88
K. Tzolakis
G
20
Costinha
↓ 77' 🟨 68'
D
45
P. Retsos
D
5
L. Pirola
D
3
F. Ortega
🟨 9'
D
32
S. Hezze
🟨 90+6'
M
14
D. Garcia
↓ 83'
M
23
Rodinei
⚽ 45'
M
22
Chiquinho
🎯 45' ↓ 89'
M
10
G. Martins
⚽ 33'
M
9
A. El Kaabi
F
Substitutes
1
A. Paschalakis
G
61
G. Kouraklis
G
21
R. Vezo
D
56
D. Podence
F
99
M. Taremi
F
97
Y. Yazici
F
4
G. Biancone
↑ 77'
D
17
Andre Luiz
F
16
L. Scipioni
↑ 89'
M
96
C. Mouzakitis
↑ 83'
M
8
D. Nascimento
M
6
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
Last matches: Panathinaikos
23.07.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Paks
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Rapid Vienna
1
4
L
11.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Grasshoppers
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Ajax
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Helmond Sport
4
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
2
D
13.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
0
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
0
4
L
15.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
4
1
W
04.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
3
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
1
1
D
22.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
2
2
D
Last matches: Olympiakos Piraeus
24.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Antwerp
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
OH Leuven
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
3
L
05.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI
3
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panserraikos
2
1
W
24.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panetolikos
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Levadiakos
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
0
1
L
04.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
3
0
W
H2H: Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
13.05.26
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
0
L
19.04.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
08.02.26
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
0
1
W
21.09.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
30.03.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
4
2
L
05.02.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
0
L
26.01.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
15.01.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
2
D
10.03.24
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
3
W
04.02.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
17.01.24
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
10.01.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
Last matches: Panathinaikos
11.07.26
Fri
Panathinaikos
Grasshoppers
3
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
2
D
03.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
1
0
W
04.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
3
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
2
2
D
15.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Larisa
1
1
D
01.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
3
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Volos NFC
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
2
3
L
27.11.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
Sturm Graz
2
1
W
09.11.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
W
26.10.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Atromitos
1
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
GO Ahead Eagles
1
2
L
H2H at home: Panathinaikos
19.04.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
15.01.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
2
D
04.02.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
10.01.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
Last matches: Olympiakos Piraeus
24.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Antwerp
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI
3
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panserraikos
2
1
W
24.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
D
14.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Levadiakos
0
0
D
04.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
3
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
2
1
W
10.01.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Atromitos
2
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
09.12.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kairat Almaty
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panetolikos
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kifisia
3
1
W
21.10.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Barcelona
1
6
L
18.10.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
2
L
01.10.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Arsenal
0
2
L
H2H away: Olympiakos Piraeus
19.04.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
W
21.09.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
W
15.01.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
2
D
04.02.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
L
10.01.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round