Palmeiras vs Fluminense H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsPalmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
41 matches
Fluminense
43 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 19 |
| 12 | Draws | 13 |
| 5 | Losses | 11 |
| 69 | Goals For | 68 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.34 | Shots On Goal | 5.29 |
| 16 | Total Shots | 14.12 |
| 6.02 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 59.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Palmeiras's more proactive style and Fluminense's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Palmeiras hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Fluminense now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Fluminense controlled more possession in the first leg (70% against 30%). Palmeiras were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 3. Fluminense circulated the ball more often, making 810 passes to 353 and completing 731. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palmeiras expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fluminense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fluminense.
Ahead of this knockout test, Palmeiras arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 11 points after 6 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 10:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on J. López (4 goals), J. Arias (3 goals), R. Sosa (2 goals), with creative support from J. López (4 assists), J. Arias (2 assists), Allan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Fluminense arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 8 points after 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 7:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on A. Canobbio (2 goals), John Kennedy (2 goals), Hulk (1 goals), with creative support from Hulk (2 assists), J. Savarino (1 assists), Guga (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|