CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Palestino Win 47.5%
Draw 17.9%
Coquimbo Unido Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palestino1.35
Coquimbo Unido1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palestino Palestino
WWDLW
35 GF / 32 GA
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WLDWL
39 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palestino Palestino 22 matches
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 28 matches
Palestino Statistic Coquimbo Unido
10 Wins 13
4 Draws 8
8 Losses 7
35 Goals For 39
32 Goals Against 28
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 7
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.71
14.5 Total Shots 12.1
4.31 Corners 5.81
48.2% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Coquimbo Unido having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Coquimbo Unido. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 23:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Nelson Da Silva (2 goals), César Munder (2 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Bryan Carrasco (1 assists), Nicolás Meza (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Placed 4 with 24 points from 15 outings, Coquimbo Unido continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolás Johansen (4 goals), Guido Vadalá (2 goals), Sebastián Galani (1 goals), with creative support from Juan Cornejo (3 assists), Francisco Salinas (1 assists), Cristián Zavala (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 3 times, Coquimbo Unido won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Palestino's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Palestino 4-3-3 / Coquimbo Unido -
H2H summary: Palestino wins 3, draws 7, Coquimbo Unido wins 3
Last matches: Palestino
26.07.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
0
2
L
11.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
04.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
2
1
W
30.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
3
L
27.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
24.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
4
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
Last matches: Coquimbo Unido
04.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
01.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
23.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
O'Higgins
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
19.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Colo Colo
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
H2H: Palestino vs Coquimbo Unido
07.02.26
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
3
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
0
0
D
06.10.24
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
W
06.06.24
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
0
0
D
17.07.23
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
28.01.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
5
1
W
20.02.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
2
2
D
14.02.21
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
2
D
09.09.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
1
0
L
14.09.19
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
W
29.04.19
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
2
2
D
Last matches: Palestino
11.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
24.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
4
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
30.04.25
Cop
Palestino
Concepción
4
4
D
27.01.25
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
05.09.24
Cop
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
5
L
12.07.24
Cop
Palestino
Santiago Wanderers
3
1
W
30.06.24
Cop
Palestino
Barnechea
3
0
W
22.06.23
Cop
Palestino
Santiago Morning
5
4
W
26.06.22
Cop
Palestino
Cobreloa
0
1
L
08.07.21
Cop
Palestino
Colo Colo
2
3
L
30.06.21
Cop
Palestino
Concepción
4
0
W
H2H at home: Palestino
08.11.25
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
W
17.07.23
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
5
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
2
D
14.09.19
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
W
Last matches: Coquimbo Unido
04.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
01.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Colo Colo
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Huachipato
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
U. Catolica
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Coquimbo Unido
Huachipato
0
0
D
14.01.26
Fri
Coquimbo Unido
Concepción
2
1
W
11.07.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
02.07.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
4
1
W
06.04.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
0
2
L
08.02.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
2
0
W
H2H away: Coquimbo Unido
08.11.25
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
W
06.10.24
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
L
17.07.23
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
5
1
L
14.02.21
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
2
D
14.09.19
H2H
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
L

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 0 3 32:13 19 39
W W W W W
2 16 8 3 5 38:23 15 27
D W W L W
3 16 7 6 3 19:11 8 27
W W D W L
4 16 6 7 3 20:19 1 25
W D W D L
5 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
6 16 7 3 6 26:25 1 24
D D L L W
7 16 7 3 6 23:23 0 24
L W D W W
8 16 6 3 7 31:26 5 21
L L L L L
9 16 5 5 6 17:17 0 20
D L W D W
10 16 6 2 8 19:24 -5 20
L L D L L
11 16 4 7 5 24:28 -4 19
D D L W L
12 16 5 4 7 19:24 -5 19
D D D L L
13 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
14 16 5 2 9 16:23 -7 17
W W L W L
15 16 4 4 8 19:23 -4 16
L D D W L
16 16 3 2 11 20:35 -15 11
D L L L W