Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.7%
|
- |
Palermo
Cesena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palermo
36 matches
Cesena
35 matches
| Palermo | Statistic | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 12 |
| 12 | Draws | 9 |
| 6 | Losses | 14 |
| 56 | Goals For | 42 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.36 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 13.89 | Total Shots | 13.03 |
| 5.22 | Corners | 4.71 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palermo's more proactive style and Cesena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palermo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cesena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cesena having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cesena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Palermo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 65 points compared to Cesena in 8 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Placed 4 with 65 points from 34 outings, Palermo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 55:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Pohjanpalo (21 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals), with creative support from A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
From their first 34 matches, Cesena have collected 44 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 42:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals), with creative support from T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 3 times, Cesena won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Palermo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Palermo
3
3
11
6
3
5
Lineups
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Venezia
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Reggiana
Palermo
Frosinone
Palermo
Avellino
Palermo
Padova
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Palermo
Monza
Palermo
Carrarese
Palermo
Mantova
Palermo
Pescara
Palermo
Sudtirol
Palermo
Virtus Entella
Palermo
Sampdoria
Palermo
Empoli
Palermo
Bari
Palermo
Modena
Palermo
Spezia
Cesena
Padova
Cesena
Carrarese
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Catanzaro
Cesena
Mantova
Cesena
Frosinone
Cesena
Modena
Cesena
Monza
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Spezia
Cesena
Venezia
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Pescara
Cesena
Avellino
Cesena
Bari
Cesena
Reggiana
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Avellino
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Palermo
Mantova
Palermo
Sudtirol
Palermo
Virtus Entella
Palermo
Empoli
Palermo
Spezia
Palermo
Padova
Palermo
Sampdoria
Palermo
Carrarese
Palermo
Pescara
Palermo
Monza
Palermo
Modena
Palermo
Venezia
Palermo
Bari
Palermo
Frosinone
Palermo
Reggiana
Cesena
Carrarese
Cesena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Mantova
Cesena
Modena
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Avellino
Cesena
Reggiana
Cesena
Catanzaro
Cesena
Padova
Cesena
Monza
Cesena
Bari
Cesena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Spezia
Cesena
Frosinone
Cesena
Venezia
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
Pescara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Palermo
Home
|
38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
Cesena
Away
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|