Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
83.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Palermo
Catanzaro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palermo
41 matches
Catanzaro
41 matches
| Palermo | Statistic | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 17 |
| 13 | Draws | 14 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 62 | Goals For | 68 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.37 | Shots On Goal | 4.56 |
| 13.93 | Total Shots | 12.85 |
| 5.1 | Corners | 4.24 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Catanzaro have the edge after taking the first leg 3-0, leaving Palermo needing to respond to a 3-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Palermo had more of the ball in the first leg (55% possession compared to 45%). Catanzaro carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 6 shots on goal compared to 1. Palermo also attempted more passes (447 to 373) and completed 351. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Catanzaro. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Ahead of this knockout test, Palermo arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 72 points after 38 matches. The return of 20 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 61:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by J. Pohjanpalo (24 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals), with creative support from A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (5 assists), and at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Catanzaro come into this tie placed 5 in their league with 59 points from 38 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 14 draws, and 9 defeats with goals at 62:51 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on P. Iemmello (13 goals), Filippo Pittarello (12 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (10 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 3 times, Catanzaro won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Palermo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.
Palermo
5
4
9
7
3
1
Lineups
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Venezia
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Reggiana
Palermo
Cesena
Palermo
Frosinone
Palermo
Avellino
Palermo
Padova
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Palermo
Monza
Palermo
Carrarese
Palermo
Mantova
Palermo
Pescara
Palermo
Sudtirol
Palermo
Virtus Entella
Palermo
Sampdoria
Palermo
Empoli
Palermo
Bari
Palermo
Modena
Palermo
Spezia
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Cesena
Palermo
Avellino
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Palermo
Mantova
Palermo
Sudtirol
Palermo
Virtus Entella
Palermo
Empoli
Palermo
Spezia
Palermo
Padova
Palermo
Sampdoria
Palermo
Carrarese
Palermo
Pescara
Palermo
Monza
Palermo
Modena
Palermo
Venezia
Palermo
Bari
Palermo
Frosinone
Palermo
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
Venezia
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Spezia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Palermo
Home
|
38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 5 |
Catanzaro
Away
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|