Paide vs Vaprus Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65%
|
1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Paide
Vaprus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paide
41 matches
Vaprus
33 matches
| Paide | Statistic | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 12 | Losses | 16 |
| 65 | Goals For | 56 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0.43 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 1.43 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0.71 | Corners | 0 |
| 8.7% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Paide's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vaprus. Vaprus arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Paide approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 32 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 32:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Vaprus approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 26 points from 20 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 9 times, Vaprus won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:11 from Paide's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 74:20 | 54 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 56:37 | 19 | 52 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 49:26 | 23 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Paide
Home
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:38 | -2 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Vaprus
Away
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 37:52 | -15 | 34 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 31:49 | -18 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 21:64 | -43 | 18 |
L
D
L
L
L
|