Paide vs Nõmme United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
86%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Paide
Nõmme United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paide
36 matches
Nõmme United
30 matches
| Paide | Statistic | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 2 |
| 10 | Losses | 16 |
| 56 | Goals For | 60 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 73 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.43 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 28 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0.75 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 2.5 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 1.25 | Corners | 0 |
| 15.3% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Paide's more proactive style and Nõmme United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Paide arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 35 points compared to Nõmme United in 7 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nõmme United. Nõmme United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control.
Paide come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 35 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 33:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Nõmme United sit 7 with 25 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 14 defeats with a 40:54 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 8 times, Nõmme United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:7 from Paide's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 72 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 20 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Paide
Home
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52:27 | 25 | 50 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 44 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 35 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | -18 | 29 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Nõmme United
Away
|
29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47:68 | -21 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22:65 | -43 | 19 |
D
L
D
L
L
|