ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
19.04.2026 14:00
Paide kunstmuruvaljak
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Paide
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
54'
D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
56'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🔄
65'
K. Kask ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
66'
P. A. Cham ↔ H. Anier
Paide
🔄
66'
D. Luts ↔ M. Jobarteh
Paide
67'
R. Nigula · Assist: H. Anier
Paide
🔄
72'
A. Borolinstsikov ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
72'
M. Mannilaan ↔ N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
72'
D. Sotsugov ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
74'
R. Nigula ↔ Victor Hugo
Paide
🔄
80'
M. Miller ↔ R. Smirnov
Paide
🟨
81'
R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🔄
82'
O. Musolitin ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🟨
89'
N. Andreev
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+2'
Daniel Cabral
Paide

Paide vs Kalju Nomme Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Paide Win 40.6%
Draw 21.3%
Kalju Nomme Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paide1.55
Kalju Nomme1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paide Paide
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
31 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paide Paide 14 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 15 matches
Paide Statistic Kalju Nomme
8 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
28 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 13
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
11 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 7
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kalju Nomme. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Paide Analysis

Paide come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Daniel Cabral (3 goals), M. P. Sohna (3 goals), R. Smirnov (2 goals), with creative support from H. Anier (2 assists), M. P. Sohna (1 assists), K. Piht (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 11:2 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Mannilaan (4 goals), N. Ivanov (2 goals), D. Mashchenko (1 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (2 assists), B. Vastsuk (1 assists), D. Tarassenkov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 6 times, Kalju Nomme won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Paide's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Paide 4-3-3 / Kalju Nomme -
H2H summary: Paide wins 6, draws 6, Kalju Nomme wins 3

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 5 1 64:20 44 59
W W W W D
2 25 15 0 10 49:32 17 45
W L L W L
3 25 13 5 7 45:22 23 44
L L W W W
4
Paide Home
24 12 6 6 40:31 9 42
W W D W L
5 24 12 2 10 31:35 -4 38
L W W W W
6 25 10 1 14 36:41 -5 31
W W L L L
7 24 8 4 12 33:46 -13 28
D L L D L
8 25 8 1 16 42:60 -18 25
L L L L L
9 25 7 4 14 27:41 -14 25
D L W W L
10 25 5 2 18 18:57 -39 17
L L D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga