ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Paide kunstmuruvaljak
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Paide
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
54'
D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
56'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🔄
65'
K. Kask ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
66'
P. A. Cham ↔ H. Anier
Paide
🔄
66'
D. Luts ↔ M. Jobarteh
Paide
67'
R. Nigula · Assist: H. Anier
Paide
🔄
72'
A. Borolinstsikov ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
72'
M. Mannilaan ↔ N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
72'
D. Sotsugov ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
74'
R. Nigula ↔ Victor Hugo
Paide
🔄
80'
M. Miller ↔ R. Smirnov
Paide
🟨
81'
R. Siht
Kalju Nomme
🔄
82'
O. Musolitin ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🟨
89'
N. Andreev
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+2'
Daniel Cabral
Paide

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Paide Win 40.6%
Draw 21.3%
Kalju Nomme Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paide1.55
Kalju Nomme1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paide Paide
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
31 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
11
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paide Paide 14 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 15 matches
Paide Statistic Kalju Nomme
8 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
28 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 13
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
11 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 7
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kalju Nomme. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Paide Analysis

Paide come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Daniel Cabral (3 goals), M. P. Sohna (3 goals), R. Smirnov (2 goals), with creative support from H. Anier (2 assists), M. P. Sohna (1 assists), K. Piht (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 11:2 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Mannilaan (4 goals), N. Ivanov (2 goals), D. Mashchenko (1 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (2 assists), B. Vastsuk (1 assists), D. Tarassenkov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 6 times, Kalju Nomme won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Paide's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Paide 4-3-3 / Kalju Nomme 4-4-2
H2H summary: Paide wins 6, draws 6, Kalju Nomme wins 3

Lineups

Paide
Formation
Kalju Nomme
E. Jarju
E. Jarju
M. Lilander
M. Lilander
G. Juhkam
G. Juhkam
Andrade
Andrade
R. Nigula
R. Nigula
M. P. Sohna
M. P. Sohna
O. Hoim
O. Hoim
Daniel Cabral
Daniel Cabral
M. Miller
M. Miller
P. A. Cham
P. A. Cham
D. Luts
D. Luts
H. Perk
H. Perk
U. Korre
U. Korre
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
M. Tambedou
M. Tambedou
R. Siht
R. Siht
O. Musolitin
O. Musolitin
B. Vastsuk
B. Vastsuk
K. Kask
K. Kask
D. Sotsugov
D. Sotsugov
M. Mannilaan
M. Mannilaan
A. Borolinstsikov
A. Borolinstsikov
Paide 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
E. Jarju
2
M. Lilander
5
G. Juhkam
4
Andrade
24
R. Nigula
⚽ 67' ↓ 74'
11
M. P. Sohna
28
O. Hoim
6
Daniel Cabral
🟨 90+2'
10
M. Miller
↓ 80'
17
P. A. Cham
↓ 66'
77
D. Luts
↓ 66'
Substitutes
12
M. Meerits
3
Victor Hugo
↑ 74'
9
H. Anier
🎯 67' ↑ 66'
14
M. Jobarteh
↑ 66'
15
H. Ojamaa
16
A. Surogin
19
S. Luts
21
R. Smirnov
↑ 80'
27
N. Baranov
30
A. Badamosi
43
Willian Lins
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
5
U. Korre
46
R. Vukusic
🟨 56'
20
M. Tambedou
26
R. Siht
🟨 81'
8
O. Musolitin
↓ 82'
59
B. Vastsuk
6
K. Kask
↓ 65'
88
D. Sotsugov
↓ 72' 🟨 54'
27
M. Mannilaan
↓ 72'
4
A. Borolinstsikov
↓ 72'
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
2
J. Lillemets
7
D. Tarassenkov
↑ 72'
10
N. Ivanov
↑ 72'
11
M. Orlov
↑ 65'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
21
T. Baptista
↑ 72'
22
A. Nikolajev
24
A. Iljin
30
I. Jabir
↑ 82'
74
F. Jekimov
Last matches: Paide
23.07.26
UEF
Paide
Zira
1
0
W
19.07.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
5
L
16.07.26
UEF
Paide
Hegelmann Litauen
3
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Paide
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
04.07.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
21.06.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
14.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
31.05.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
17.05.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
2
W
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
09.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
1
0
W
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
H2H: Paide vs Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
14.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
14.02.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
08.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
2
W
09.03.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
4
0
W
05.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
4
W
22.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
1
L
31.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
3
3
D
Last matches: Paide
23.07.26
UEF
Paide
Zira
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Paide
Hegelmann Litauen
3
0
W
04.07.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
31.05.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.05.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Paide
Metta / LU
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Paide
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
14.01.26
Fri
Paide
Tartu Welco
5
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Paide
AIK Stockholm
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Paide
Magpies
4
1
W
H2H at home: Paide
19.04.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
14.02.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
14.09.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
09.03.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
4
0
W
06.10.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
22.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
5
3
W
23.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Maardu
5
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Viimsi
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
0
W
H2H away: Kalju Nomme
19.04.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
14.02.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
L
14.09.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
09.03.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
4
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
22.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
08.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
3
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4
Paide Home
20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga