ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Paide linnastaadion
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Paide
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
B. Tambedou · Assist: Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
17'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
24'
Wendell · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
25'
R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
27'
Daniel Cabral
Paide
🟨
33'
M. P. Sohna
Paide
🟨
33'
Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
37'
T. Kink
Paide
🟥
60'
E. Jarju
Paide
🔄
64'
Daniel Cabral ↔ M. Meerits
Paide
🔄
64'
A. Badamosi ↔ H. Anier
Paide
🔄
64'
F. Liivak ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
67'
M. P. Sohna ↔ M. Jobarteh
Paide
🔄
67'
D. Luts ↔ R. Smirnov
Paide
🟥
69'
H. Anier
Paide
🔄
80'
R. Peetson ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
80'
A. Nwankwo ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
80'
M. Roosnupp ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
80'
B. Tambedou ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
82'
Victor Hugo ↔ N. Baranov
Paide

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paide Win 37.5%
Draw 10.6%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 51.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paide1.53
FC Levadia Tallinn1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paide Paide
WWDLW
35 GF / 26 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
38 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paide Paide 19 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 16 matches
Paide Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
10 Wins 10
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 2
35 Goals For 38
26 Goals Against 17
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
14 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Levadia Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Levadia Tallinn. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Paide sit 4 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Paide Analysis

Placed 4 with 20 points from 11 outings, Paide continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 20:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Cabral (4 goals), H. Anier (3 goals), M. P. Sohna (3 goals), with creative support from H. Anier (3 assists), Victor Hugo (2 assists), M. P. Sohna (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 27 points after 11 outings. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:8, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Tambedou (9 goals), Wendell (5 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Skvortsov (5 assists), M. Ainsalu (4 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 3 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Paide's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
H2H summary: Paide wins 3, draws 2, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9

Lineups

Paide
Formation
FC Levadia Tallinn
E. Jarju
E. Jarju
M. Lilander
M. Lilander
Andrade
Andrade
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
R. Nigula
R. Nigula
Daniel Cabral
Daniel Cabral
O. Hoim
O. Hoim
M. P. Sohna
M. P. Sohna
M. Miller
M. Miller
D. Luts
D. Luts
A. Badamosi
A. Badamosi
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
F. Liivak
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
V. Iboro
V. Iboro
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
🎯
R. Peetson
M. Ainsalu
🎯
M. Ainsalu
M. Skvortsov
M. Skvortsov
M. Roosnupp
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
🎯
Wendell
B. Tambedou
B. Tambedou
Paide 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
E. Jarju
🟥 60'
2
M. Lilander
4
Andrade
3
Victor Hugo
↓ 82'
24
R. Nigula
6
Daniel Cabral
⚽ 27' ↓ 64'
28
O. Hoim
11
M. P. Sohna
↓ 67' 🟨 33'
10
M. Miller
77
D. Luts
↓ 67'
30
A. Badamosi
↓ 64'
Substitutes
12
M. Meerits
↑ 64'
7
E. Tur
9
H. Anier
↑ 64' 🟥 69'
14
M. Jobarteh
↑ 67'
15
H. Ojamaa
17
P. A. Cham
21
R. Smirnov
↑ 67'
27
N. Baranov
↑ 82'
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
↓ 64'
20
A. Nwankwo
↓ 80'
35
V. Iboro
29
J. Saliste
6
R. Peetson
🎯 17' ↓ 80' 🟨 25'
11
M. Ainsalu
🎯 24'
21
M. Skvortsov
5
M. Roosnupp
⚽ 17' ↓ 80'
10
Wendell
⚽ 24' 🎯 11' 🟨 33'
9
B. Tambedou
⚽ 11' ↓ 80'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
↑ 80'
17
R. Kirss
18
Alexandre
↑ 80'
30
H. Liiv
33
E. Otoo
↑ 80'
36
Joao Pedro
↑ 80'
71
Kaua Davi
↑ 64'
Last matches: Paide
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
14.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
31.05.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
10.05.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
2
W
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
19.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Paide
Trans Narva
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Paide
Metta / LU
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
H2H: Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn
17.05.26
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
22.03.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
22.10.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
1
2
W
04.07.25
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
11.05.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
0
W
29.05.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
25.05.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
4
2
L
01.05.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
1
0
L
31.03.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
0
L
23.02.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
1
0
L
03.05.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
0
L
Last matches: Paide
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
31.05.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
19.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Paide
Metta / LU
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Paide
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
14.01.26
Fri
Paide
Tartu Welco
5
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Paide
AIK Stockholm
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Paide
Magpies
4
1
W
H2H at home: Paide
17.05.26
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
04.07.25
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
23.04.25
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
0
W
29.05.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
23.02.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
17.05.26
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
04.07.25
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
23.04.25
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
L
09.11.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
0
L
29.05.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
23.02.24
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 3 0 44:12 32 42
W W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 16 9 2 5 28:13 15 29
L D L W W
4
Paide Home
16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 16 6 1 9 20:27 -7 19
L L W L L
8 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
9 16 5 1 10 30:39 -9 16
L W L L L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga