Padova vs Reggiana Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.3%
|
- |
Padova
Reggiana
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Padova
35 matches
Reggiana
35 matches
| Padova | Statistic | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 8 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 33 | Goals For | 34 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.51 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 10.69 | Total Shots | 10.4 |
| 3.97 | Corners | 3.63 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 41.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Reggiana. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Padova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 37 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 33:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bortolussi (10 goals), K. Lasagna (6 goals), F. Sgarbi (4 goals), with creative support from Alessandro Capelli (5 assists), K. Varas (4 assists), C. Buonaiuto (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Reggiana sit 18 with 33 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 33:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Portanova (7 goals), A. Novakovich (4 goals), E. Tavsan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Bertagnoli (5 assists), M. Marras (4 assists), N. Girma (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 3 times, Reggiana won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Padova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Padova
Home
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Reggiana
Away
|
38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|