Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.3%
|
- |
Padova
Reggiana
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Padova
35 matches
Reggiana
35 matches
| Padova | Statistic | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 8 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 33 | Goals For | 34 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.51 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 10.69 | Total Shots | 10.4 |
| 3.97 | Corners | 3.63 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 41.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Reggiana. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Padova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 37 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 33:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bortolussi (10 goals), K. Lasagna (6 goals), F. Sgarbi (4 goals), with creative support from Alessandro Capelli (5 assists), K. Varas (4 assists), C. Buonaiuto (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Reggiana sit 18 with 33 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 33:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Portanova (7 goals), A. Novakovich (4 goals), E. Tavsan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Bertagnoli (5 assists), M. Marras (4 assists), N. Girma (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 3 times, Reggiana won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Padova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.
Padova
2
3
5
7
3
2
Lineups
Padova
Monza
Padova
Cittadella
Padova
Ospitaletto
Padova
Sassuolo
Padova
Cesena
Padova
Pescara
Padova
Virtus Entella
Padova
Empoli
Padova
Frosinone
Padova
Palermo
Padova
Venezia
Padova
Catanzaro
Padova
Avellino
Padova
Spezia
Padova
Modena
Padova
Bari
Padova
Sampdoria
Padova
Carrarese
Padova
Juve Stabia
Padova
Monza
Reggiana
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Modena
Reggiana
Palermo
Reggiana
Carrarese
Reggiana
Pescara
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
Monza
Reggiana
Bari
Reggiana
Venezia
Reggiana
Sudtirol
Reggiana
Spezia
Reggiana
Avellino
Reggiana
Empoli
Reggiana
Mantova
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
Frosinone
Reggiana
Cesena
Reggiana
Venezia
Reggiana
Sampdoria
Padova
Ospitaletto
Padova
Pescara
Padova
Empoli
Padova
Palermo
Padova
Catanzaro
Padova
Spezia
Padova
Bari
Padova
Carrarese
Padova
Monza
Padova
Mantova
Padova
Modena
Padova
Sampdoria
Padova
Cesena
Padova
Venezia
Padova
Sudtirol
Padova
Juve Stabia
Padova
Avellino
Padova
Virtus Entella
Padova
Frosinone
Padova
Vicenza Virtus
Reggiana
Modena
Reggiana
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
Bari
Reggiana
Venezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Reggiana
Empoli
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Frosinone
Reggiana
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Pescara
Reggiana
Mantova
Reggiana
Carrarese
Reggiana
Avellino
Reggiana
Monza
Reggiana
Cesena
Reggiana
Sudtirol
Reggiana
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
Palermo
Reggiana
Empoli
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Padova
Home
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Reggiana
Away
|
38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|