ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Euganeo
Referee: G. Collu
Padova
Match Timeline
Pescara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
A. Di Nardo ↔ F. Russo
Pescara
🟨
42'
Andrea Cagnano
Pescara
🟨
45+2'
Pietro Fusi
Padova
🔄
55'
L. Fanne ↔ F. Caligara
Pescara
🔄
55'
L. Meazzi ↔ G. Olzer
Pescara
🟨
63'
Francesco Belli
Padova
🔄
65'
G. Caprari ↔ A. Seghetti
Padova
🔄
66'
P. Fusi ↔ L. Di Maggio
Padova
🔄
74'
M. Bortolussi ↔ F. Di Mariano
Padova
VAR
78'
Flavio Russo
Pescara
🟨
79'
Lorenzo Villa
Padova
🔄
83'
A. Capelli ↔ P. Ghiglione
Padova
🔄
83'
G. Favale ↔ J. Silva
Padova
🔄
88'
L. Valzania ↔ D. Merola
Pescara
🟨
90+7'
Davide Merola
Pescara
🟨
90'
Lorenzo Insigne
Pescara
90'
C. Pastina
Padova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
42.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Padova Win 44.7%
Draw 17.4%
Pescara Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Padova1.25
Pescara1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Padova Padova
WWDLW
34 GF / 48 GA
Pescara Pescara
WLDWL
51 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
18
BTTS Yes
24
14
Over 2.5
24
3.49
Shots on Goal
4.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Padova Padova 37 matches
Pescara Pescara 38 matches
Padova Statistic Pescara
10 Wins 8
10 Draws 13
17 Losses 17
34 Goals For 51
48 Goals Against 66
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
18 BTTS Yes 24
23 Over 1.5 34
14 Over 2.5 24
7 Over 3.5 15
8 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 9
3.49 Shots On Goal 4.66
10.59 Total Shots 13.97
3.97 Corners 4.92
46.8% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Padova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pescara. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Padova expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Pescara in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pescara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Padova Analysis

Padova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 40 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 34:46 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bortolussi (10 goals), K. Lasagna (6 goals), F. Sgarbi (4 goals), with creative support from Alessandro Capelli (5 assists), K. Varas (4 assists), C. Buonaiuto (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pescara Analysis

Pescara sit 17 with 34 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 50:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Di Nardo (14 goals), G. Olzer (6 goals), L. Meazzi (6 goals), with creative support from A. Di Nardo (4 assists), M. Dagasso (4 assists), G. Letizia (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 2 times, Pescara won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Padova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Padova 3-5-2 / Pescara 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Padova wins 2, draws 1, Pescara wins 1
Stats
Padova Padova
Pescara Pescara
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 6
21 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 0
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
272 Total passes 476
190 Passes accurate 396
0.63 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Padova
Formation
Pescara
A. Sorrentino
A. Sorrentino
F. Belli
F. Belli
L. Villa
L. Villa
C. Pastina
C. Pastina
A. Capelli
A. Capelli
P. Fusi
P. Fusi
L. Crisetig
L. Crisetig
K. Varas
K. Varas
G. Favale
G. Favale
M. Bortolussi
M. Bortolussi
G. Caprari
G. Caprari
I. Saio
I. Saio
G. Letizia
G. Letizia
R. Capellini
R. Capellini
D. Bettella
D. Bettella
A. Cagnano
A. Cagnano
L. Fanne
L. Fanne
G. Brugman
G. Brugman
L. Valzania
L. Valzania
L. Meazzi
L. Meazzi
L. Insigne
L. Insigne
A. Di Nardo
A. Di Nardo
Padova 3-5-2
Starting XI
22
A. Sorrentino
G
4
F. Belli
🟨 63'
D
55
L. Villa
🟨 79'
D
58
C. Pastina
⚽ 90'
D
17
A. Capelli
↓ 83'
M
8
P. Fusi
↓ 66' 🟨 45+2'
M
6
L. Crisetig
M
7
K. Varas
M
30
G. Favale
↓ 83'
M
20
M. Bortolussi
↓ 74'
F
24
G. Caprari
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Mouquet
14
M. Fortin
G
77
F. Di Mariano
↑ 74'
F
92
C. Buonaiuto
F
86
G. Giunti
M
5
M. Perrotta
D
18
P. Ghiglione
↑ 83'
D
23
L. Di Maggio
↑ 66'
M
72
C. Faedo
D
11
A. Seghetti
↑ 65'
F
41
J. Silva
↑ 83'
M
13
A. Boi
D
Pescara 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
22
I. Saio
G
3
G. Letizia
D
2
R. Capellini
D
6
D. Bettella
D
32
A. Cagnano
🟨 42'
D
18
L. Fanne
↓ 55'
M
8
G. Brugman
M
14
L. Valzania
↓ 88'
M
7
L. Meazzi
↓ 55'
M
11
L. Insigne
🟨 90'
M
9
A. Di Nardo
↓ 21'
F
Substitutes
44
M. Brondbo
G
19
D. Faraoni
D
26
A. Gravillon
D
21
F. Caligara
↑ 55'
M
5
J. Brandes
M
15
G. Altare
D
10
D. Merola
↑ 88' 🟨 90+7'
F
95
G. Corbo
D
74
F. Tsadjout
F
27
G. Olzer
↑ 55'
M
31
F. Russo
↑ 21'
F
20
L. Graziani
M
Last matches: Padova
08.05.26
Ser
Padova
Cesena
4
3
W
25.04.26
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
17.03.26
Ser
Padova
Venezia
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Padova
Avellino
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
3
3
D
01.02.26
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Padova
Sudtirol
0
3
L
17.01.26
Ser
Padova
Mantova
1
2
L
11.01.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
Last matches: Pescara
08.05.26
Ser
Pescara
Spezia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Carrarese
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Sampdoria
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Reggiana
3
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Empoli
2
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Virtus Entella
3
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Sudtirol
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Bari
4
0
W
04.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Frosinone
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Palermo
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Venezia
2
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Avellino
1
0
W
10.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Catanzaro
0
2
L
06.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Cesena
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Mantova
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Monza
0
3
L
18.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Modena
0
2
L
10.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Pescara
Spezia
1
2
L
H2H: Padova vs Pescara
01.05.26
H2H
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Pescara
Padova
0
1
W
23.02.19
H2H
Pescara
Padova
2
0
L
02.10.18
H2H
Padova
Pescara
2
2
D
Last matches: Padova
19.04.26
Ser
Padova
Reggiana
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Padova
Empoli
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Padova
Palermo
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Padova
Catanzaro
1
3
L
03.03.26
Ser
Padova
Spezia
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ser
Padova
Bari
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Padova
Carrarese
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Padova
Monza
1
2
L
17.01.26
Ser
Padova
Mantova
1
2
L
11.01.26
Ser
Padova
Modena
2
0
W
20.12.25
Ser
Padova
Sampdoria
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Padova
Cesena
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ser
Padova
Venezia
0
2
L
01.11.25
Ser
Padova
Sudtirol
1
1
D
26.10.25
Ser
Padova
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
30.09.25
Ser
Padova
Avellino
2
2
D
21.09.25
Ser
Padova
Virtus Entella
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Padova
Frosinone
0
1
L
10.08.25
Cop
Padova
Vicenza Virtus
0
2
L
H2H at home: Padova
01.05.26
H2H
Padova
Pescara
1
0
W
02.10.18
H2H
Padova
Pescara
2
2
D
Last matches: Pescara
19.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Carrarese
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ser
Pescara
Reggiana
3
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Empoli
2
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Sudtirol
0
0
D
04.03.26
Ser
Pescara
Frosinone
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Venezia
2
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Avellino
1
0
W
06.02.26
Ser
Pescara
Cesena
0
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Monza
0
3
L
10.01.26
Ser
Pescara
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Pescara
Spezia
1
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
Pescara
Bari
1
1
D
21.11.25
Ser
Pescara
Catanzaro
3
3
D
01.11.25
Ser
Pescara
Palermo
0
5
L
25.10.25
Ser
Pescara
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
05.10.25
Ser
Pescara
Sampdoria
1
4
L
28.09.25
Ser
Pescara
Modena
1
2
L
30.08.25
Ser
Pescara
Mantova
1
2
L
17.08.25
Cop
Pescara
Parma
0
2
L
H2H away: Pescara
01.05.26
H2H
Padova
Pescara
1
0
L
02.10.18
H2H
Padova
Pescara
2
2
D

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation