CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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Starlight Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.9%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pacific FC Win 13.1%
Draw 8%
Supra du Quebec Win 78.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pacific FC1.46
Supra du Quebec1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WWDLW
15 GF / 30 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
1.38
Shots on Goal
1.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pacific FC Pacific FC 13 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 12 matches
Pacific FC Statistic Supra du Quebec
0 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
10 Losses 6
15 Goals For 18
30 Goals Against 23
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
10 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
1.38 Shots On Goal 1.17
4.23 Total Shots 5.58
1.77 Corners 2
23.2% Ball Possession 23.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Supra du Quebec carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 14 points while Pacific FC sit 8 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Supra du Quebec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 3 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 13:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bustos (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 6 with 14 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 18:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Pacific FC won 0 times, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Pacific FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Pacific FC 4-2-3-1 / Supra du Quebec -
H2H summary: Pacific FC wins 0, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 1
Last matches: Pacific FC
26.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
3
L
05.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
L
26.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
5
L
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec
06.06.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
H2H
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
Last matches: Pacific FC
05.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
H2H at home: Pacific FC
11.04.26
H2H
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Supra du Quebec
11.04.26
H2H
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 13 8 3 2 23:7 16 27
L D W W W
3 14 6 3 5 22:25 -3 21
W D L W W
4 14 6 2 6 21:15 6 20
W W W L W
5 15 4 4 7 20:24 -4 16
L D W L W
6 12 4 2 6 18:23 -5 14
W L L L D
7 11 3 4 4 14:22 -8 13
D L L L L
8 13 0 3 10 15:30 -15 3
L L L L D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)