Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Pachuca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pachuca0.54
Toluca1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pachuca
WWDLW
3 GF / 9 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
15 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.43
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
1
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Pachuca
7 matches
Toluca
7 matches
| Pachuca | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 3 | Goals For | 15 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 0.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.14 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pachuca won 7 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:23 from Pachuca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pachuca wins 7, draws 3, Toluca wins 5
Last matches: Pachuca
23.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
18.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
3
L
02.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
0
1
L
27.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H: Pachuca vs Toluca
10.05.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
L
04.05.26
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
W
22.03.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
27.10.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
3
2
L
18.09.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
3
W
03.09.23
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
5
0
L
20.02.23
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
31.10.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
3
1
L
28.10.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
5
W
28.08.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
4
W
13.03.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
3
W
14.09.21
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
14.03.21
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
W
Last matches: Pachuca
18.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
3
L
27.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
0
W
19.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
0
D
14.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
2
1
W
21.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
1
W
03.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
23.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
27.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
20.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
13.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
H2H away: Toluca
10.05.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
L
22.03.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
18.09.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
3
W
20.02.23
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
31.10.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
3
1
L
14.09.21
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Pachuca
Home
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs