Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
97%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- |
Oxford United
Wrexham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Oxford United
45 matches
Wrexham
46 matches
| Oxford United | Statistic | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 19 |
| 15 | Draws | 14 |
| 20 | Losses | 13 |
| 42 | Goals For | 71 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.36 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 11.87 | Total Shots | 11.41 |
| 3.98 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 40.3% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wrexham's more proactive style and Oxford United's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wrexham. Wrexham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 67 points while Oxford United sit 22 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oxford United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wrexham in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wrexham having the stronger overall control.
Oxford United sit 22 with 44 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 41:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Lankshear (9 goals), C. Brannagan (6 goals), Ciaron Brown (3 goals), with creative support from B. De Keersmaecker (5 assists), M. Helik (4 assists), C. Brannagan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without B. De Keersmaecker, T. Goodrham, G. Leigh, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Wrexham sit 7 with 67 points after 43 league matches. The record of 18 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 63:60 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Windass (13 goals), K. Moore (11 goals), N. Broadhead (7 goals), with creative support from L. O'Brien (6 assists), J. Windass (5 assists), I. Kabore (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Cacace, A. James, T. O'Connor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Oxford United won 1 times, Wrexham won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Oxford United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Oxford United
4
4
7
4
8
3
Lineups
Oxford United
Aldershot Town
Oxford United
Millwall
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Derby
Oxford United
Watford
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Oxford United
Hull City
Oxford United
Southampton
Oxford United
Charlton
Oxford United
Blackburn
Oxford United
Preston
Oxford United
West Brom
Oxford United
Stoke City
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Sunderland
Oxford United
Norwich
Oxford United
Coventry
Oxford United
Sheffield Utd
Oxford United
Birmingham
Oxford United
Leicester
Wrexham
Manchester United
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Coventry
Wrexham
Stoke City
Wrexham
Birmingham
Wrexham
Southampton
Wrexham
West Brom
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
Watford
Wrexham
Swansea
Wrexham
Hull City
Wrexham
Chelsea
Wrexham
Charlton
Wrexham
Portsmouth
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Bristol City
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Millwall
Wrexham
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
Watford
Oxford United
Hull City
Oxford United
Charlton
Oxford United
Blackburn
Oxford United
West Brom
Oxford United
Sunderland
Oxford United
Norwich
Oxford United
Birmingham
Oxford United
QPR
Oxford United
Bristol City
Oxford United
Swansea
Oxford United
Southampton
Oxford United
Preston
Oxford United
Ipswich
Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
Stoke City
Oxford United
Millwall
Oxford United
Derby
Oxford United
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
Manchester United
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
Wrexham
Coventry
Wrexham
Birmingham
Wrexham
West Brom
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
Watford
Wrexham
Charlton
Wrexham
Bristol City
Wrexham
Sheffield Wednesday
Wrexham
QPR
Wrexham
Derby
Wrexham
Blackburn
Wrexham
Swansea
Wrexham
Hull City
Wrexham
Preston
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Portsmouth
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Stoke City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Wrexham
Away
|
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 |
Oxford United
Home
|
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|