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12.10.2026 16:30
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Referee: Morales Moreno Pablo
Oviedo
Match Timeline
Eibar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
Mikel Goti Lopez · Assist: Enzo Pérez Miranda
Oviedo
🟨
12'
Unai Elgezabal Udondo
Eibar
🟨
21'
David Jimenez
Oviedo
🟨
42'
Anaitz Arbilla
Eibar
⚽
45'
Carlos Dominguez
Oviedo
🔄
45'
Unai Elgezabal Udondo ↔ Peru Nolaskoain
Eibar
🟨
53'
Carlos Dominguez
Oviedo
🔄
59'
Jon Magunazelaia ↔ Iván Gil
Eibar
🔄
59'
jon guruzeta ↔ Pejiño
Eibar
🔄
65'
Víctor García Mingo ↔ José Luis Morales
Oviedo
🔄
65'
David Jimenez ↔ Nacho Vidal
Oviedo
🔄
65'
Youness Lachhab Didi ↔ Daniel Villahermosa
Oviedo
🔄
72'
Enzo Pérez Miranda ↔ Pablo Saenz
Oviedo
🔄
72'
Malcom Ares ↔ Javier Martón Ansó
Eibar
⚽
74'
Iván Gil · Assist: Javier Martón Ansó
Eibar
🟨
79'
Dani Calvo
Oviedo
🔄
81'
Ander Madariaga Susaeta ↔ Lucas Nuñez Ramirez
Eibar
🔄
83'
Mikel Goti Lopez ↔ David Costas
Oviedo
⚽
85'
Carlos Dominguez · Assist: Aritz Aldasoro
Oviedo

Oviedo vs Eibar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.7%
Odds 3.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.7%
3.46 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.35 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.8%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oviedo Win 30.7%
Draw 3.6%
Eibar Win 65.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oviedo1.08
Eibar1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo Oviedo
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Eibar Eibar
WLDWL
28 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
2.15
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
4
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
4.13
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oviedo Oviedo 13 matches
Eibar Eibar 13 matches
Oviedo Statistic Eibar
5 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
16 Goals For 28
12 Goals Against 11
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 0
4.13 Shots On Goal 5
14.38 Total Shots 11.13
5.38 Corners 3
50.4% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Eibar's more proactive style and Oviedo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Eibar. Eibar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Oviedo sit 10 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Eibar look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Oviedo Analysis

Oviedo sit 10 with 11 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Alberto Reina (2 goals), Enzo Perez (1 goals), Dani Calvo (1 goals), with creative support from Enzo Perez (1 assists), Mikel Goti (1 assists), David Jiménez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eibar Analysis

Eibar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 21 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 18:7 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Jon Guruzeta (3 goals), Malcom Adu (2 goals), Ander Madariaga (2 goals), with creative support from Malcom Adu (3 assists), Jon Guruzeta (2 assists), Ander Madariaga (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 3 times, Eibar won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Oviedo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Oviedo 4-2-3-1 / Eibar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oviedo wins 3, draws 5, Eibar wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Eibar Away
8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
8 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
9 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
10 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
11 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
12 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
13 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
14 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation