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07.11.2026 13:20
Al Majma’a Sport City

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Faisaly FC Win 26%
Draw 24.7%
Al Diriyah Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Faisaly FC1.14
Al Diriyah1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC
L W L D W
8 GF / 11 GA
Al Diriyah Al Diriyah
L L W D L
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
3.17
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 13 matches
Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 14 matches
Al-Faisaly FC Statistic Al Diriyah
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 5
16 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 14
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 5
8 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 5
3.17 Shots On Goal 3.17
9.42 Total Shots 13
2.67 Corners 5
47.4% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Diriyah. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Al Diriyah having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Al-Faisaly FC Analysis

Al-Faisaly FC sit 14 with 10 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alexandre Mendy (5 goals), T. Bongonda (3 goals), Andrei Girotto (1 goals), with creative support from Jaime Seoane (2 assists), Alexandre Mendy (1 assists), Andrei Girotto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Diriyah Analysis

Al Diriyah sit 8 with 15 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 9:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Núñez (3 goals), A. Boulbina (2 goals), Óscar Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from Óscar Rodríguez (4 assists), C. Diandy (1 assists), Abdulaziz Al Faraj (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Faisaly FC won 0 times, Al Diriyah won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Al-Faisaly FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Al-Faisaly FC 3-4-3 / Al Diriyah 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al-Faisaly FC wins 0, draws 2, Al Diriyah wins 0

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 0 1 32:9 23 30
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 32:12 20 28
W L W W W
3 11 9 1 1 28:11 17 28
W W W W D
4 11 7 3 1 21:11 10 24
D W W L W
5 12 7 1 4 18:10 8 22
W W L L D
6 11 7 0 4 28:19 9 21
L W W W W
7 12 5 4 3 18:17 1 19
D W L W D
8 12 4 3 5 10:13 -3 15
L L W D L
9 12 3 6 3 14:19 -5 15
W L W W D
10 11 3 5 3 20:15 5 14
W W D W D
11 11 3 3 5 17:26 -9 12
L L L L L
12 11 3 3 5 11:25 -14 12
L W L D W
13 12 2 5 5 16:20 -4 11
W D L L D
14 12 2 4 6 14:20 -6 10
L D L L D
15 12 2 4 6 13:24 -11 10
L W L D W
16 12 1 3 8 10:25 -15 6
L L L W L
17 12 0 5 7 6:20 -14 5
D L L D L
18 11 0 3 8 7:19 -12 3
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1