SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 97.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
97.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ouakam Win 52.7%
Draw 0%
Teungueth Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ouakam0.48
Teungueth0.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ouakam Ouakam
WWDLW
15 GF / 10 GA
Teungueth Teungueth
WLDWL
17 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
7
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ouakam Ouakam 24 matches
Teungueth Teungueth 24 matches
Ouakam Statistic Teungueth
6 Wins 10
15 Draws 12
3 Losses 2
15 Goals For 17
10 Goals Against 6
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
7 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
15 Clean Sheets 19
12 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Teungueth. Teungueth look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Teungueth having the stronger overall control.

Ouakam Analysis

Ouakam are currently 6 in the standings with 33 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 15 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Teungueth Analysis

Teungueth come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 42 points after 24 matches. With 10 wins, 12 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:6, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ouakam won 2 times, Teungueth won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Ouakam's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Ouakam wins 2, draws 5, Teungueth wins 3
Last matches: Ouakam
04.06.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
Last matches: Teungueth
04.06.26
Lig
Teungueth
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
DSC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Wally Daan
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
AJEL
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
HLM
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
AS Camberene
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Jaraaf
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Pikine
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Sonacos
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Génération Foot
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
La Linguère
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Gorée
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
DSC
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
Wally Daan
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
AJEL
2
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
Ouakam
0
0
D
H2H: Ouakam vs Teungueth
03.05.26
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
07.01.26
H2H
Teungueth
Ouakam
0
0
D
26.06.25
H2H
Teungueth
Ouakam
2
0
L
09.02.25
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Teungueth
Ouakam
2
1
L
07.11.23
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
21.05.18
H2H
Teungueth
Ouakam
2
1
L
11.02.18
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.04.17
H2H
Teungueth
Ouakam
1
1
D
26.11.16
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
2
0
W
Last matches: Ouakam
04.06.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
13.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
29.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
1
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ouakam
03.05.26
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
09.02.25
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
1
0
W
07.11.23
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
11.02.18
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
26.11.16
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
2
0
W
Last matches: Teungueth
04.06.26
Lig
Teungueth
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
DSC
0
0
D
13.05.26
Lig
Teungueth
Wally Daan
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Teungueth
AS Camberene
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Pikine
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Teungueth
Génération Foot
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Gorée
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Teungueth
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Teungueth
AJEL
2
0
W
28.12.25
Lig
Teungueth
HLM
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
Teungueth
Casa Sport
0
0
D
06.12.25
Lig
Teungueth
Jaraaf
0
1
L
23.11.25
Lig
Teungueth
Sonacos
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Teungueth
La Linguère
2
1
W
H2H away: Teungueth
03.05.26
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
09.02.25
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
1
0
L
07.11.23
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
11.02.18
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
26.11.16
H2H
Ouakam
Teungueth
2
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation