SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ouakam Win 75.5%
Draw 5.2%
Sonacos Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ouakam0.94
Sonacos0.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ouakam Ouakam
WWDLW
21 GF / 15 GA
Sonacos Sonacos
WLDWL
17 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.59
0.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
10
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ouakam Ouakam 29 matches
Sonacos Sonacos 29 matches
Ouakam Statistic Sonacos
7 Wins 4
18 Draws 13
4 Losses 12
21 Goals For 17
15 Goals Against 37
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.59
0.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 3
17 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ouakam's more proactive style and Sonacos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sonacos having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sonacos.

Ouakam Analysis

So far, Ouakam have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 39 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 18 draws, and 4 losses, while the 21:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sonacos Analysis

Sonacos sit 14 with 25 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats with a 17:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ouakam won 2 times, Sonacos won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Ouakam's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: Ouakam wins 2, draws 3, Sonacos wins 3
Last matches: Ouakam
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
Last matches: Sonacos
22.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
DSC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
Génération Foot
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
La Linguère
2
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Gorée
1
2
L
26.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Teungueth
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Wally Daan
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AJEL
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
11.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
2
L
H2H: Ouakam vs Sonacos
04.06.26
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
16.02.26
H2H
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
3
W
03.11.24
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
07.01.24
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
1
2
L
08.04.18
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
2
L
08.03.18
H2H
Sonacos
Ouakam
2
0
L
Last matches: Ouakam
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
13.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
29.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
1
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ouakam
04.06.26
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.01.24
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
1
2
L
08.04.18
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
2
L
Last matches: Sonacos
17.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
Génération Foot
0
1
L
30.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Gorée
1
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Teungueth
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Wally Daan
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AJEL
0
1
L
09.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
07.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
2
L
28.12.25
Lig
Sonacos
DSC
2
5
L
14.12.25
Lig
Sonacos
La Linguère
1
0
W
30.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
16.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
Stade de Mbour
0
1
L
H2H away: Sonacos
04.06.26
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
L
03.11.24
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.01.24
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
1
2
W
08.04.18
H2H
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation