SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
76.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
90.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ouakam Win 45.3%
Draw 11%
Gorée Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ouakam0.52
Gorée0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ouakam Ouakam
WWDLW
16 GF / 11 GA
Gorée Gorée
WLDWL
26 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
1
0.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
8
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ouakam Ouakam 26 matches
Gorée Gorée 26 matches
Ouakam Statistic Gorée
6 Wins 10
17 Draws 13
3 Losses 3
16 Goals For 26
11 Goals Against 10
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
8 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 11
3 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
16 Clean Sheets 17
13 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gorée having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gorée. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ouakam Analysis

Ouakam are currently 6 in the standings with 35 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 17 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gorée Analysis

Gorée come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 43 points from 26 matches. The record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:10 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ouakam won 2 times, Gorée won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Ouakam's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: Ouakam wins 2, draws 4, Gorée wins 2
Last matches: Ouakam
04.06.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
Last matches: Gorée
04.06.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Gorée
DSC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
3
0
W
H2H: Ouakam vs Gorée
13.05.26
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
24.01.26
H2H
Gorée
Ouakam
0
0
D
08.03.25
H2H
Gorée
Ouakam
1
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
2
2
D
12.05.24
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
1
0
W
31.12.23
H2H
Gorée
Ouakam
1
0
L
25.03.17
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
14.11.16
H2H
Gorée
Ouakam
1
1
D
Last matches: Ouakam
04.06.26
Lig
Ouakam
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Génération Foot
2
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Ouakam
Teungueth
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Ouakam
Wally Daan
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
HLM
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Ouakam
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
Pikine
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Ouakam
La Linguère
3
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Ouakam
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
29.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
AJEL
1
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Ouakam
DSC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
AS Camberene
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Ouakam
Jaraaf
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ouakam
13.05.26
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
2
2
D
12.05.24
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
1
0
W
25.03.17
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D
Last matches: Gorée
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
21.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
2
0
W
16.11.25
Lig
Gorée
DSC
4
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
0
D
H2H away: Gorée
13.05.26
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
2
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
2
2
D
12.05.24
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
1
0
L
25.03.17
H2H
Ouakam
Gorée
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation