ROMANIA LIGA I
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Stadionul Otelul

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 3.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
3.99
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.96
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Oţelul Win 61.4%
Draw 5%
Universitatea Craiova Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oţelul1.23
Universitatea Craiova1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oţelul Oţelul
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
4
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
8
3.25
Shots on Goal
2.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oţelul Oţelul 7 matches
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 14 matches
Oţelul Statistic Universitatea Craiova
2 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
8 Goals For 27
6 Goals Against 19
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
4 BTTS Yes 8
4 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
3.25 Shots On Goal 2.9
8.5 Total Shots 7.9
4.5 Corners 2.5
50.3% Ball Possession 35.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Oţelul won 3 times, Universitatea Craiova won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Oţelul's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Oţelul 4-3-3 / Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
H2H summary: Oţelul wins 3, draws 2, Universitatea Craiova wins 3
Last matches: Oţelul
09.08.26
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
1
D
24.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
18.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
FC Bacau
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
18.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
5
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
4
L
04.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
20.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
1
4
L
Last matches: Universitatea Craiova
13.08.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
2
1
W
09.08.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
06.08.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
1
1
D
01.08.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti
4
0
W
29.07.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
25.07.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
5
L
22.07.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Uta Arad
4
0
W
15.07.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
ML Vitebsk
1
0
W
08.07.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
ML Vitebsk
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Universitatea Craiova
Polessya
4
3
W
24.06.26
Fri
Universitatea Craiova
Sabah FA
1
1
D
25.05.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Rapid
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Cluj
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Dinamo Bucuresti
2
1
W
27.04.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Arges Pitesti
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Rapid
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
06.04.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
0
W
H2H: Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova
05.02.26
H2H
Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
1
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
14.02.25
H2H
Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
2
1
L
11.01.25
H2H
Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
1
2
W
05.10.24
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
04.04.24
H2H
Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
0
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
3
L
24.07.23
H2H
Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
0
0
D
Last matches: Oţelul
31.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
FC Bacau
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
1
4
L
26.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
3
0
W
20.12.25
Lig
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
05.12.25
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
3
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
2
2
D
25.10.25
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
1
2
L
06.10.25
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
4
0
W
20.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
14.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
1
L
24.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
4
1
W
H2H at home: Oţelul
20.09.25
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
3
L
Last matches: Universitatea Craiova
06.08.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
1
1
D
25.07.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
5
L
22.07.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.07.26
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
ML Vitebsk
4
1
W
25.05.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Rapid
0
0
D
08.05.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
0
D
27.04.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Arges Pitesti
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
19.03.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Rapid
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Unirea Slobozia
3
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Farul Constanta
1
4
L
19.01.26
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti
4
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
AEK Athens FC
2
3
L
14.12.25
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
01.12.25
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Cluj
0
0
D
21.11.25
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Universitatea Craiova
Rapid Vienna
1
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Universitatea Craiova
Metaloglobus
0
0
D
H2H away: Universitatea Craiova
20.09.25
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.88
Draw 3.51
Home 3.99
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.23
Home 4.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.72
Over 2.5 1.96
Over 2.75 2.24
Over 3.0 2.73
Over 3.5 3.37
Over 4.5 6.60
Under 1.5 3.39
Under 2.0 2.61
Under 2.25 2.09
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 2.75 1.64
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 3.30
Home 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.20
Home 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.40
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.88
Draw 3.50
Home 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.47
Draw 2.08
Home 4.66
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.22
Draw 2.44
Home 4.16
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.72
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 2.75 2.22
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.94
Over 3.5 3.28
Over 3.75 4.10
Over 4.0 5.75
Over 4.25 6.15
Over 4.5 6.55
Over 4.75 8.05
Over 5.0 8.90
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 4.49
Under 1.5 3.20
Under 1.75 2.87
Under 2.0 2.49
Under 2.25 2.07
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 2.75 1.63
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 3.75 1.16
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.86
Draw 3.35
Home 3.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.10
Home 4.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 2.50
Home 3.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.35
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.40
Over 4.25 5.60
Over 4.5 6.00
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 1 1 4:3 1 10
D W W W L
2 5 3 0 2 4:6 -2 9
W W L L W
3 4 2 2 0 6:2 4 8
D D W W
4 5 2 2 1 9:7 2 8
D W D W L
5 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
6 4 2 1 1 10:3 7 7
W D W L
7 4 2 0 2 9:6 3 6
L W L W
8 3 2 0 1 4:3 1 6
W L W
9 4 1 2 1 4:3 1 5
D D L W
10 4 1 2 1 2:2 0 5
D D W L
11 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
L D D W
12 5 1 1 3 4:13 -9 4
L L W L D
13 3 1 0 2 7:5 2 3
L W L
14 4 0 3 1 4:5 -1 3
D L D D
15 4 0 2 2 2:7 -5 2
D L D L
16 4 0 0 4 2:9 -7 0
L L L L
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)