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ROMANIA › LIGA I
16.08.2026 15:30
Stadionul Oțelul
Referee: Marcel Birsan, Romania
Oţelul
Match Timeline
Universitatea Craiova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Alexandru Crețu
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
29'
Alexandru Crețu
Universitatea Craiova
🟥
29'
Alexandru Crețu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
46'
C. Mora ↔ N. Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
56'
M. Etim · Assist: T. Baluta
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
59'
V. Screciu ↔ O. Romanchuk
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
60'
João Lameira
Oţelul
🔄
64'
L. Basceanu ↔ D. Matei
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
64'
M. Etim ↔ S. Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
65'
A. Ciobanu ↔ Joao Paulino
Oţelul
🔄
72'
A. Al Hamlawi ↔ S. Nsimba
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
77'
M. Silva ↔ T. Lungu
Oţelul
🔄
77'
M. Frunza ↔ D. Bordun
Oţelul
🟨
80'
Ștefan Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
85'
Oleksandr Romanchuk
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
85'
Răzvan Sava
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
87'
T. Lungu · Assist: Andrezinho
Oţelul
🟨
90+3'
Teodor Lungu
Oţelul
🟨
90+3'
David Matei
Universitatea Craiova

Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oţelul Win 61.4%
Draw 5%
Universitatea Craiova Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oţelul1.23
Universitatea Craiova1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oţelul Oţelul
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
4
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
8
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oţelul Oţelul 7 matches
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 14 matches
Oţelul Statistic Universitatea Craiova
2 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
8 Goals For 27
6 Goals Against 19
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
4 BTTS Yes 8
4 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.2
8.5 Total Shots 12.4
4.5 Corners 4.3
50.3% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oţelul won 3 times, Universitatea Craiova won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Oţelul's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Oţelul 4-3-3 / Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
H2H summary: Oţelul wins 3, draws 3, Universitatea Craiova wins 3

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 25:7 18 26
W W W W D
2 11 7 3 1 18:9 9 24
W W W W D
3 11 7 2 2 25:9 16 23
W W W W D
4 11 6 1 4 14:15 -1 19
L W D W W
5 11 6 0 5 20:18 2 18
L W W W L
6 11 4 5 2 17:15 2 17
W L W D D
7 11 4 4 3 14:11 3 16
W W L L D
8 11 5 1 5 17:17 0 16
W L W L D
9 11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
W L D L L
10 11 3 5 3 16:12 4 14
W L D W D
11 11 3 4 4 7:12 -5 13
L L W L W
12 11 3 3 5 14:17 -3 12
L W L W W
13 11 3 2 6 6:11 -5 11
L L D L L
14 11 2 4 5 11:16 -5 10
L L L L D
15 11 2 2 7 11:25 -14 8
L L L W D
16 11 0 1 10 6:24 -18 1
L L L L L
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