ROMANIA LIGA I
16.08.2026 15:30
Stadionul Otelul
Referee: M. Birsan
Oţelul
Match Timeline
Universitatea Craiova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Alexandru Crețu
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
29'
Alexandru Crețu
Universitatea Craiova
🟥
29'
Alexandru Crețu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
46'
C. Mora ↔ N. Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
56'
M. Etim · Assist: T. Baluta
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
59'
V. Screciu ↔ O. Romanchuk
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
60'
João Lameira
Oţelul
🔄
64'
L. Basceanu ↔ D. Matei
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
64'
M. Etim ↔ S. Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
65'
A. Ciobanu ↔ Joao Paulino
Oţelul
🔄
72'
A. Al Hamlawi ↔ S. Nsimba
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
77'
M. Silva ↔ T. Lungu
Oţelul
🔄
77'
M. Frunza ↔ D. Bordun
Oţelul
🟨
80'
Ștefan Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
85'
Oleksandr Romanchuk
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
85'
Răzvan Sava
Universitatea Craiova
87'
T. Lungu · Assist: Andrezinho
Oţelul
🟨
90+3'
Teodor Lungu
Oţelul
🟨
90+3'
David Matei
Universitatea Craiova

Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oţelul Win 61.4%
Draw 5%
Universitatea Craiova Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oţelul1.23
Universitatea Craiova1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oţelul Oţelul
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
4
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
8
3.25
Shots on Goal
2.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oţelul Oţelul 7 matches
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 14 matches
Oţelul Statistic Universitatea Craiova
2 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
8 Goals For 27
6 Goals Against 19
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
4 BTTS Yes 8
4 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
3.25 Shots On Goal 2.9
8.5 Total Shots 7.9
4.5 Corners 2.5
50.3% Ball Possession 35.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oţelul won 3 times, Universitatea Craiova won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Oţelul's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Oţelul 4-3-3 / Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
H2H summary: Oţelul wins 3, draws 3, Universitatea Craiova wins 3

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 16:6 10 17
W D W W W
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
W D W L D
3 8 5 0 3 9:10 -1 15
W W L W W
4 7 3 2 2 14:9 5 11
D W D L W
5 8 2 5 1 10:8 2 11
D D D D W
6 8 3 2 3 11:10 1 11
L L L W D
7 8 2 4 2 12:8 4 10
W D W L D
8 8 2 4 2 8:6 2 10
L D D W D
9 7 3 1 3 11:10 1 10
D W W L L
10 8 2 4 2 9:9 0 10
L D W D L
11 7 3 1 3 4:5 -1 10
L L D W W
12 8 2 4 2 4:8 -4 10
L W D D D
13 6 3 0 3 9:9 0 9
L L W W L
14 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
W W D L D
15 7 1 2 4 7:18 -11 5
D L L L W
16 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L D L
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