🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.04.2026 23:30
Exploria Stadium
Referee: P. Lauziere
Orlando City SC
Match Timeline
Houston Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Eduard Atuesta
Orlando City SC
🟨
28'
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
🔄
46'
J. Bond ↔ J. Maurer
Houston Dynamo
🔄
58'
T. Spicer ↔ J. Ellis
Orlando City SC
🔄
63'
D. Samassekou ↔ Artur
Houston Dynamo
🔄
63'
F. Negri ↔ S. Vines
Houston Dynamo
⚽
75'
H. Herrera
Houston Dynamo
🟨
78'
Jimmy Maurer
Houston Dynamo
🔄
80'
Z. Taifi ↔ H. Sarajian
Orlando City SC
🔄
80'
H. Herrera ↔ A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+6'
Braian Ojeda
Orlando City SC
🔄
90'
E. Atuesta ↔ I. Gomez
Orlando City SC
🔄
90'
L. Ennali ↔ I. Aliyu
Houston Dynamo

Orlando City SC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orlando City SC Win 42.4%
Draw 23.3%
Houston Dynamo Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orlando City SC1.48
Houston Dynamo2.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WWDLW
13 GF / 34 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2
3.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
8
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
8
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 11 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 13 matches
Orlando City SC Statistic Houston Dynamo
2 Wins 7
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 4
13 Goals For 26
34 Goals Against 25
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2
3.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.67
10.29 Total Shots 14
3.71 Corners 6.33
40.7% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orlando City SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Houston Dynamo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Houston Dynamo.

Orlando City SC Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 13, Orlando City SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 6:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ojeda (2 goals), M. Pasalic (2 goals), D. McGuire (1 goals), with creative support from I. Angulo (2 assists), Tiago (1 assists), G. Dorsey (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with W. Cartagena, J. Gerbet, Iago Teodoro unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 12, Houston Dynamo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:16 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Guilherme (5 goals), Felipe Andrade (2 goals), L. Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), J. McGlynn (2 assists), M. Bogusz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Artur, Lucas Halter, J. McGlynn, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 3 times, Houston Dynamo won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
Predicted formations: Orlando City SC 4-2-3-1 / Houston Dynamo 3-4-3
Missing players: Orlando City SC 4, Houston Dynamo 3
H2H summary: Orlando City SC wins 3, draws 3, Houston Dynamo wins 3

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 3 55:21 34 60
W W D L D
2 27 14 4 9 45:36 9 46
L W W W L
3 27 12 10 5 64:50 14 46
L D D D D
4 27 12 7 8 47:38 9 43
L W D W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
W L L D D
6 27 11 6 10 54:44 10 39
W W W W W
7 27 10 4 13 48:64 -16 34
L L W W W
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 27 8 9 10 41:36 5 33
D L W L D
10 26 8 9 9 55:64 -9 33
L D D L L
11 26 6 12 8 34:42 -8 30
D L D W D
12 27 8 5 14 39:43 -4 29
W W L L W
13 27 6 11 10 39:51 -12 29
L L L W D
14 27 7 6 14 32:45 -13 27
D W D L D
15 27 6 6 15 34:54 -20 24
W L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)