Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Orlando City SC
22 matches
FC Cincinnati
27 matches
| Orlando City SC | Statistic | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 12 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 37 | Goals For | 70 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.59 |
| 2.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.04 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 5.68 |
| 11.78 | Total Shots | 13.09 |
| 3.78 | Corners | 4.27 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights FC Cincinnati's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cincinnati. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orlando City SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Cincinnati in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
So far, Orlando City SC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 20 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, while the 30:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Martín Ojeda (9 goals), T. Spicer (2 goals), G. Dorsey (2 goals), with creative support from Justin Ellis (3 assists), Adrián Marín (3 assists), Eduard Atuesta (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
FC Cincinnati are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 45:44 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Evander (10 goals), Kévin Denkey (9 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 5 times, FC Cincinnati won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 54 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Orlando City SC
Home
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 32 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
Away
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:48 | -15 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | -20 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|