URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oriental Win 57.4%
Draw 13%
Sportivo Huracan Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oriental1.26
Sportivo Huracan1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oriental Oriental
WWDLW
23 GF / 19 GA
Sportivo Huracan Sportivo Huracan
WLDWL
17 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oriental Oriental 17 matches
Sportivo Huracan Sportivo Huracan 16 matches
Oriental Statistic Sportivo Huracan
6 Wins 5
7 Draws 7
4 Losses 4
23 Goals For 17
19 Goals Against 18
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Oriental's more proactive style and Sportivo Huracan's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sportivo Huracan. Sportivo Huracan arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Huracan having the stronger overall control.

Oriental Analysis

So far, Oriental have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 12 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 15:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Huracan Analysis

Sportivo Huracan approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 12 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Oriental won 2 times, Sportivo Huracan won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Oriental's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Oriental wins 2, draws 0, Sportivo Huracan wins 1
Last matches: Oriental
12.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
2
2
D
13.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
3
0
W
08.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
2
D
01.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
22.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
1
3
L
17.05.26
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
2
2
D
02.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
20.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Paysandu
1
0
W
23.03.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
0
0
D
14.03.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
3
1
W
24.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
18.10.25
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
1
1
D
12.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
3
2
W
Last matches: Sportivo Huracan
11.07.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Colón
0
2
L
05.07.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Fenix
0
2
L
27.06.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Rentistas
1
2
L
19.06.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Miramar
1
0
W
13.06.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Tacuarembo
2
1
W
05.06.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
La Luz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Cerrito
0
2
L
17.05.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Atenas
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Paysandu
2
2
D
25.04.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Cerrito
1
1
D
19.04.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Fenix
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
La Luz
2
2
D
22.03.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Atenas
1
1
D
25.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Central Espanol
3
2
W
22.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Villa Espanola
0
1
L
18.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Miramar
2
1
W
15.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
H2H: Oriental vs Sportivo Huracan
14.10.17
H2H
Sportivo Huracan
Oriental
3
1
L
03.06.17
H2H
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
2
1
W
11.06.16
H2H
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
Last matches: Oriental
04.07.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
1
1
D
13.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
3
0
W
01.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
2
2
D
12.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Paysandu
1
0
W
23.03.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
0
0
D
24.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
28.09.25
Seg
Oriental
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
20.09.25
Seg
Oriental
Artigas
2
1
W
06.09.25
Seg
Oriental
Albion FC
0
0
D
24.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Rampla Juniors
0
1
L
15.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Central Espanol
2
3
L
26.07.25
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
2
2
D
21.07.25
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
1
1
D
13.07.25
Seg
Oriental
Colón
1
0
W
21.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
07.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
2
0
W
H2H at home: Oriental
03.06.17
H2H
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
2
1
W
11.06.16
H2H
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
Last matches: Sportivo Huracan
05.07.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Fenix
0
2
L
19.06.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Miramar
1
0
W
05.06.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
24.05.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Cerrito
0
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Paysandu
2
2
D
12.04.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
La Luz
2
2
D
22.03.26
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
25.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Central Espanol
3
2
W
18.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Miramar
2
1
W
11.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Cerrito
1
1
D
04.11.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Canadian
2
1
W
11.10.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Villa Teresa
0
2
L
20.09.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Rentistas
2
2
D
16.09.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Atenas
1
1
D
05.07.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Villa Espanola
0
2
L
28.06.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
17.06.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
03.06.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Oriental
1
2
L
13.05.17
Seg
Sportivo Huracan
Progreso
0
3
L
H2H away: Sportivo Huracan
03.06.17
H2H
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
2
1
L
11.06.16
H2H
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
L