ECUADOR LIGA PRO
30.08.2026 20:30
Estadio 9 de Mayo
Referee: G. Araujo
Orense SC
Match Timeline
Macara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
A. I. Campana
Macara
18'
A. I. Campana · Assist: F. Posse
Macara
🔄
34'
D. Bolanos ↔ J. Espinoza
Macara
🟨
57'
Stéfano Callegari
Orense SC
🔄
60'
P. Velasco ↔ B. Quinonez
Orense SC
🔄
60'
M. Bermudez ↔ W. Chuchuca
Orense SC
🔄
63'
A. I. Campana ↔ M. Ayala
Macara
🔄
63'
M. Tello ↔ C. Caicedo
Macara
71'
B. Quinonez
Orense SC
🔄
74'
S. Quinonez ↔ G. Achilier
Orense SC
🔄
74'
V. Burgoa ↔ C. Ortiz
Orense SC
🔄
77'
J. Mohor ↔ J. Jimenez
Macara
🔄
77'
M. Viera ↔ J. Klinger
Macara
🟨
81'
Christian Ortíz
Orense SC
🔄
84'
E. Pluas ↔ N. Molina
Orense SC

Orense SC vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds 3.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.7%
3.34
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Orense SC Win 29%
Draw 4.3%
Macara Win 66.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orense SC1.12
Macara1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orense SC Orense SC
WWDLW
30 GF / 39 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
35 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
16
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
3.77
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orense SC Orense SC 26 matches
Macara Macara 28 matches
Orense SC Statistic Macara
8 Wins 12
6 Draws 6
12 Losses 10
30 Goals For 35
39 Goals Against 30
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
16 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
3.77 Shots On Goal 4.58
10.85 Total Shots 12.69
3.88 Corners 4.65
48.9% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Macara's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Macara. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Macara look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Macara carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 42 points while Orense SC sit 12 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 30 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats with a 30:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Agustin Herrera (7 goals), Sergio Vásquez (4 goals), Michael Bermúdez (3 goals), with creative support from Sergio Vásquez (3 assists), Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Agustin Herrera (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Macara Analysis

Macara come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 42 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a 33:25 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Franco Posse (9 goals), Agustin Campana (4 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 5 times, Macara won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Orense SC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Orense SC 4-2-3-1 / Macara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Orense SC wins 5, draws 2, Macara wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
L W W D D
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
W D W D L
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
D L D D W
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D D L W L
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
D W L L W
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D D L W L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs