Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
77.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
67.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Orense SC
21 matches
Independiente del Valle
28 matches
| Orense SC | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 21 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 25 | Goals For | 64 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.81 | Shots On Goal | 6.07 |
| 9.57 | Total Shots | 17.78 |
| 3.43 | Corners | 6.22 |
| 47.2% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Independiente del Valle. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Orense SC sit 11 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orense SC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Independiente del Valle in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Orense SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 23 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 22:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Herrera (5 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), Sergio Vásquez (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Valentín Burgoa (2 assists), A. Herrera (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 46 points from 19 games, Independiente del Valle bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 43:19 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Emerson Pata (6 goals), D. Reasco (5 goals), C. González (5 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), J. Sornoza (3 assists), A. Rodríguez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 1 times, Independiente del Valle won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:26 from Orense SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Orense SC
5
6
9
2
4
3
Lineups
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Macara
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Orense SC
Home
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|