ECUADOR LIGA PRO
16.08.2026 19:00
Estadio 9 de Mayo
Referee: Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres, Ecuador
Orense SC
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cuenca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
M. Bermudez ↔ W. Chuchuca
Orense SC
🔄
46'
B. Garcia ↔ J. Chacon
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
C. Benalcazar ↔ J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
47'
Óscar Quiñónez
Orense SC
61'
A. Herrera
Orense SC
🔄
64'
L. Mancinelli ↔ A. Lopez
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
65'
Jorge Ordóñez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
73'
V. Burgoa ↔ N. Molina
Orense SC
🔄
73'
↔ M. Parrales
Orense SC
🔄
83'
D. Gonzalez ↔ M. Klimowicz
Deportivo Cuenca
84'
A. Herrera · Assist: A. Mena
Orense SC
🔄
86'
A. Herrera ↔ G. Rostagno
Orense SC
🔄
86'
A. Mena ↔ L. Garces
Orense SC
🔄
90+3'
M. Diaz ↔ G. Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orense SC Win 30%
Draw 27.4%
Deportivo Cuenca Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orense SC1.19
Deportivo Cuenca1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orense SC Orense SC
WWDLW
28 GF / 36 GA
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WLDWL
26 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
10
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orense SC Orense SC 24 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 26 matches
Orense SC Statistic Deportivo Cuenca
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 4
11 Losses 11
28 Goals For 26
36 Goals Against 32
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
16 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 7
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.79
10.5 Total Shots 12.71
3.79 Corners 4.54
48.9% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Cuenca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orense SC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportivo Cuenca in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 26 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 27:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Agustin Herrera (5 goals), Sergio Vásquez (4 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Agustin Herrera (2 assists), Sergio Vásquez (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

With 31 points from 23 games and a place of 8, Deportivo Cuenca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 6 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Orense SC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.6%)
Predicted formations: Orense SC 4-3-3 / Deportivo Cuenca 5-4-1
H2H summary: Orense SC wins 6, draws 6, Deportivo Cuenca wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs