SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Behrn Arena
Referee: Fredrik Oppong, Sweden
Orebro SK
Match Timeline
Varbergs BoIS FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
A. Yakoub
Orebro SK
45'
A. Yakoub · Assist: J. Ortmark
Orebro SK
🔄
56'
N. Dahlstrom ↔ N. Johansson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
56'
L. Sibelius ↔ J. Nilsson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🟨
66'
Antonio Yakoub
Orebro SK
67'
A. Winbo
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
69'
S. Borgelin ↔ A. Bitiqi
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
69'
W. Arlig ↔ O. Werner
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
78'
K. Holmberg ↔ D. Salihovic
Orebro SK
🔄
81'
A. Yakoub ↔ C. Redenstrand
Orebro SK
🔄
88'
S. Wikman ↔ A. Ghasem
Orebro SK
🔄
88'
I. Vidjeskog ↔ L. Kahed
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
89'
V. Sandberg ↔ L. Astvald
Orebro SK
🔄
90+2'
A. Yasin ↔ F. Wahlstrom
Orebro SK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds 2.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.2%
2.37
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.76
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Orebro SK Win 14.7%
Draw 6%
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 79.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orebro SK1.25
Varbergs BoIS FC1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WWDLW
36 GF / 38 GA
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WLDWL
43 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
14
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
15
1.76
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orebro SK Orebro SK 27 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 26 matches
Orebro SK Statistic Varbergs BoIS FC
8 Wins 15
9 Draws 5
10 Losses 6
36 Goals For 43
38 Goals Against 29
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
14 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
1.76 Shots On Goal 3.41
2.24 Total Shots 5.18
1.53 Corners 2.53
23.3% Ball Possession 30.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Varbergs BoIS FC's more proactive style and Orebro SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Varbergs BoIS FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Orebro SK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orebro SK expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Varbergs BoIS FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Varbergs BoIS FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Varbergs BoIS FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Orebro SK sit 15 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Orebro SK Analysis

With 16 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Orebro SK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 18:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 34 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 34:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Orebro SK won 3 times, Varbergs BoIS FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Orebro SK's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Orebro SK 4-5-1 / Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Orebro SK wins 3, draws 3, Varbergs BoIS FC wins 4

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 2 4 41:13 28 47
W W W W W
2 21 11 5 5 41:30 11 38
W L W D L
3 21 11 4 6 38:27 11 37
W L D L W
4 21 9 8 4 30:23 7 35
D D D W W
5 21 10 3 8 32:30 2 33
D W W L L
6 21 8 8 5 32:30 2 32
L W D D D
7 21 8 7 6 27:22 5 31
D D D W L
8 21 7 8 6 34:31 3 29
L W D W D
9 21 7 6 8 34:31 3 27
D D L W W
10 20 7 4 9 33:40 -7 25
L D L L D
11 21 6 6 9 27:28 -1 24
L D L L D
12 21 4 11 6 25:28 -3 23
L D L W D
13 21 6 4 11 25:38 -13 22
W D D W W
14 21 5 6 10 35:42 -7 21
L L D L W
15 20 4 7 9 20:32 -12 19
W D L L D
16 21 4 1 16 15:44 -29 13
W L D L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation