SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Behrn Arena
Referee: Erik Mattsson, Sweden
Orebro SK
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
R. Wiedesheim-Paul · Assist: K. Holmberg
Orebro SK
🔄
46'
M. Kusu ↔ E. Ibrahimbegovic
Orebro SK
49'
A. Bjornstrom
IFK Varnamo
53'
V. Claesson
IFK Varnamo
56'
K. Meriluoto
IFK Varnamo
🔄
61'
A. Yasin ↔ S. Wikman
Orebro SK
🔄
67'
L. Astvald ↔ E. McCue
Orebro SK
🔄
68'
H. Andersson ↔ S. Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
85'
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic
Orebro SK
🔄
85'
C. Johansson ↔ E. Freij
IFK Varnamo
🟨
88'
Karl Holmberg
Orebro SK
🔄
89'
R. Wiedesheim-Paul ↔ F. Wahlstrom
Orebro SK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
89.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orebro SK Win 32.8%
Draw 56.7%
IFK Varnamo Win 10.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orebro SK1.56
IFK Varnamo1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WWDLW
31 GF / 29 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WLDWL
31 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
14
1.88
Shots on Goal
1.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orebro SK Orebro SK 24 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 24 matches
Orebro SK Statistic IFK Varnamo
8 Wins 5
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 14
31 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 47
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 10
1.88 Shots On Goal 1.94
2.38 Total Shots 3.25
1.63 Corners 2.38
24.8% Ball Possession 29.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward IFK Varnamo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IFK Varnamo having the stronger overall control.

Orebro SK Analysis

With 14 points from 15 games and a place of 14, Orebro SK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 13:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo sit 15 with 11 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 17:34, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Orebro SK won 2 times, IFK Varnamo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Orebro SK's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Orebro SK 4-2-3-1 / IFK Varnamo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Orebro SK wins 2, draws 0, IFK Varnamo wins 1

Lineups

Orebro SK
Formation
IFK Varnamo
J. Ojrzynski
J. Ojrzynski
G. Bovalina
G. Bovalina
V. Sandberg
V. Sandberg
L. Astvald
L. Astvald
C. Redenstrand
C. Redenstrand
M. Kusu
M. Kusu
J. Ortmark
J. Ortmark
A. Yakoub
A. Yakoub
R. Wiedesheim-Paul
R. Wiedesheim-Paul
A. Yasin
A. Yasin
K. Holmberg
🎯
K. Holmberg
H. Keto
H. Keto
A. Motaraghebjafarpour
A. Motaraghebjafarpour
D. Bergqvist
D. Bergqvist
J. Rapp
J. Rapp
A. Bjornstrom
A. Bjornstrom
C. Johansson
C. Johansson
V. Claesson
V. Claesson
S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
K. Meriluoto
K. Meriluoto
M. Antonsson
M. Antonsson
H. Andersson
H. Andersson
Orebro SK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
75
J. Ojrzynski
G
22
G. Bovalina
D
3
V. Sandberg
D
15
L. Astvald
↓ 67'
D
11
C. Redenstrand
D
8
M. Kusu
↓ 46'
M
5
J. Ortmark
M
9
A. Yakoub
M
10
R. Wiedesheim-Paul
⚽ 2' ↓ 89'
F
99
A. Yasin
↓ 61'
M
17
K. Holmberg
🎯 2' 🟨 88'
F
Substitutes
30
B. Runheim
G
2
A. Ghasem
D
6
E. Ibrahimbegovic
↑ 46' 🟨 85'
M
7
S. Wikman
↑ 61'
M
12
D. Salihovic
D
14
H. Dana
M
18
E. Hrastovina
F
21
F. Wahlstrom
↑ 89'
M
4
E. McCue
↑ 67'
D
IFK Varnamo 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
H. Keto
G
18
A. Motaraghebjafarpour
M
5
D. Bergqvist
D
2
J. Rapp
D
3
A. Bjornstrom
⚽ 49'
D
7
C. Johansson
↓ 85'
M
10
V. Claesson
⚽ 53'
M
4
S. Ohlsson
D
9
K. Meriluoto
⚽ 56'
F
14
M. Antonsson
F
8
H. Andersson
↓ 68'
M
Substitutes
39
B. Sapielak
G
13
S. Jansson
↑ 68'
D
15
S. Coulibaly
D
16
A. Kujundzic
M
19
E. Freij
↑ 85'
D
21
I. Abdulrazak
M
28
M. C. Diallo
M
33
M. Akinfenwa
34
B. Zulovic
F
Last matches: Orebro SK
25.08.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
1
W
14.08.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IK brage
3
3
D
10.08.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Norrby IF
1
3
L
27.07.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Oddevold
0
0
D
19.07.26
Sup
Orebro SK
United Nordic
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
4
2
W
27.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
22.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Sandviken
1
1
D
14.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
10.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Helsingborg
1
2
L
18.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Oddevold
1
4
L
12.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
1
0
W
08.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IK brage
0
3
L
02.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Norrby IF
1
1
D
21.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IFK Norrkoping
2
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Osters IF
0
0
D
06.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
29.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
1
0
W
24.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
1
1
D
16.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
11.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
2
1
W
25.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
0
0
D
19.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
H2H: Orebro SK vs IFK Varnamo
03.08.26
H2H
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
1
3
L
12.05.26
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
W
Last matches: Orebro SK
25.08.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Oddevold
0
0
D
22.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Sandviken
1
1
D
10.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall
0
1
L
26.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Helsingborg
1
2
L
08.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IK brage
0
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Norrby IF
1
1
D
21.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IFK Norrkoping
2
1
W
06.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Sandviken
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orebro SK
FBK Karlstad
3
0
W
H2H at home: Orebro SK
03.08.26
H2H
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
1
3
L
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
29.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
1
0
W
11.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
2
1
W
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
14.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Trelleborg
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Karpaty
1
1
D
H2H away: IFK Varnamo
03.08.26
H2H
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
1
3
W

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 2 4 41:13 28 47
W W W W W
2 21 11 5 5 41:30 11 38
W L W D L
3 21 9 8 4 30:23 7 35
D D D W W
4 20 10 4 6 35:26 9 34
L D L W L
5 21 8 8 5 32:30 2 32
L W D D D
6 20 10 2 8 31:29 2 32
W W L L W
7 21 8 7 6 27:22 5 31
D D D W L
8 20 7 8 5 33:28 5 29
W D W D D
9 20 7 5 8 33:30 3 26
D L W W L
10 20 7 4 9 33:40 -7 25
L D L L D
11 21 6 6 9 27:28 -1 24
L D L L D
12 20 4 11 5 25:27 -2 23
D L W D D
13 21 6 4 11 25:38 -13 22
W D D W W
14 21 5 6 10 35:42 -7 21
L L D L W
15 20 4 7 9 20:32 -12 19
W D L L D
16 20 3 1 16 14:44 -30 10
L D L L L
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