BRAZIL SERIE B
22.07.2026 22:30
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: B. Vasconcelos
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
David da Hora
Ponte Preta
7'
Brandao · Assist: Marcio Silva
Ponte Preta
31'
Pablo
Operario-PR
🟨
34'
Marcio Silva
Ponte Preta
49'
Brandao · Assist: Elvis
Ponte Preta
🟨
51'
Brandão
Ponte Preta
53'
H. Pereira · Assist: Gabriel Feliciano
Operario-PR
🔄
64'
Matheus Trindade ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
🔄
65'
Aylon ↔ Moraes
Operario-PR
🔄
65'
Kevyson ↔ Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🟨
72'
Vinicius
Ponte Preta
🟨
77'
Vinicius Diniz
Operario-PR
🔄
79'
H. Pereira ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
VAR
80'
Julio de Oliveira
Ponte Preta
🟨
83'
Brandão
Ponte Preta
🟥
83'
Brandão
Ponte Preta
🔄
85'
Gabriel Feliciano ↔ Maxwell
Operario-PR
🔄
85'
Pablo ↔ Caio Dantas
Operario-PR
🔄
88'
Elvis ↔ Nicolas Araujo
Ponte Preta
🔄
88'
Leo Gomes ↔ Juan Rodrigues
Ponte Preta
🟨
90+7'
Daniel Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
90+5'
Diego Porfirio ↔ David da Hora
Ponte Preta
90'
Caio Dantas
Operario-PR

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 88%
Draw 6%
Ponte Preta Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.57
Ponte Preta0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
12 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
10
4.56
Shots on Goal
3.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 18 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 18 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Ponte Preta
9 Wins 2
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 14
24 Goals For 12
20 Goals Against 35
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
9 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 8
4.56 Shots On Goal 3.28
13.11 Total Shots 10.78
5.11 Corners 5.06
50.9% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Operario-PR's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Ponte Preta in 3-3-1-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Operario-PR arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 31 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Operario-PR come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ponte Preta.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 17 outings. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:18, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Gabriel Boschilia (8 goals), Pablo (4 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Boschilia (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ponte Preta Analysis

With 8 points from 17 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 11:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 5 times, Ponte Preta won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Operario-PR's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-4-1-1 / Ponte Preta 3-3-1-3
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 5, draws 3, Ponte Preta wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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