Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Operario-PR
18 matches
Ponte Preta
18 matches
| Operario-PR | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 14 |
| 24 | Goals For | 12 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.28 |
| 13.11 | Total Shots | 10.78 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 5.06 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Operario-PR's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Ponte Preta in 3-3-1-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Operario-PR arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 31 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Operario-PR come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ponte Preta.
Operario-PR approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 17 outings. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:18, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Gabriel Boschilia (8 goals), Pablo (4 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Boschilia (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
With 8 points from 17 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 11:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 5 times, Ponte Preta won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Operario-PR's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.
Operario-PR
4
5
11
3
5
3
Lineups
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
Avai
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
Goias
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
Juventude
Operario-PR
Ceara
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
CRB
Operario-PR
Londrina
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Avai
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
Juventude
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Londrina
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Operario-PR
Home
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|