BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Operario Ferroviario
Match Timeline
Uberlandia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Luisinho
Operario Ferroviario
34'
Marcelo Augusto
Uberlandia
79'
Tomas Bastos
Uberlandia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario Ferroviario Win 29.5%
Draw 17.4%
Uberlandia Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario Ferroviario0.68
Uberlandia1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Uberlandia Uberlandia
WLDWL
8 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
3
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario 5 matches
Uberlandia Uberlandia 5 matches
Operario Ferroviario Statistic Uberlandia
0 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
3 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 4
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Uberlandia's more proactive style and Operario Ferroviario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Uberlandia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 12 points while Operario Ferroviario sit 5 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Uberlandia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uberlandia having the stronger overall control. Uberlandia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Operario Ferroviario Analysis

Placed 5 with 3 points from 5 outings, Operario Ferroviario continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 3:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Eduardo Tanque (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Uberlandia Analysis

Uberlandia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 12 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 8:4 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Kayke (2 goals), Max Miller (2 goals), Da Silva (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Operario Ferroviario won 1 times, Uberlandia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Operario Ferroviario's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: Operario Ferroviario wins 1, draws 1, Uberlandia wins 2
Last matches: Operario Ferroviario
14.06.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ipatinga
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
CRAC
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ivinhema
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ivinhema
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
CRAC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ipatinga
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cianorte
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Monte Azul
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
1
D
06.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Itabirito
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cascavel
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Inter De Limeira
1
5
L
31.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cascavel
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Itabirito
1
1
D
Last matches: Uberlandia
18.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
2
3
L
H2H: Operario Ferroviario vs Uberlandia
09.05.26
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
L
02.05.26
H2H
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
L
12.07.25
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
1
D
03.05.25
H2H
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
3
W
Last matches: Operario Ferroviario
31.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
CRAC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ivinhema
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ipatinga
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cianorte
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cascavel
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Itabirito
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Monte Azul
1
1
D
H2H at home: Operario Ferroviario
09.05.26
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
L
12.07.25
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
1
D
Last matches: Uberlandia
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Monte Azul
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
3
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
H2H away: Uberlandia
09.05.26
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
W
12.07.25
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)